PLQ PQ ADQ QS PVQ

PLQ PQ ADQ QS PVQ

% 33 37 15 8 4 seats

safe

potential

47 64 12 2 0

36 54 8 1 0

25 21 5 1 0

safe = win by more than 5%; potential = within 5% of the leader

Riding by riding Abitibi-Est Abitibi-Ouest Acadie Anjou Argenteuil Arthabaska Beauce-Nord Beauce-Sud Beauharnois Bellechasse Berthier Bertrand Blainville Bonaventure Borduas Bourassa-Sauvé Bourget Brome-Missisquoi Chambly Champlain Chapleau Charlesbourg Charlevoix Châteauguay Chauveau Chicoutimi Chomedey

PLQ

PQ

ADQ

QS

PVQ

41.5% 24.3% 58.9% 39.8% 42.3% 35.2% 31.1% 38.0% 24.7% 41.7% 16.9% 25.4% 23.6% 59.2% 23.4% 49.6% 21.6% 41.3% 27.3% 26.1% 46.0% 34.6% 22.2% 33.5% 26.1% 36.5% 59.6%

44.2% 60.4% 21.9% 32.5% 38.1% 31.0% 11.0% 12.7% 53.2% 17.9% 47.9% 55.2% 46.0% 30.0% 53.2% 25.6% 47.6% 31.1% 45.7% 45.3% 28.4% 28.0% 57.6% 44.6% 22.6% 47.7% 24.7%

8.3% 11.6% 3.7% 7.3% 10.2% 24.3% 52.8% 43.7% 11.7% 35.5% 25.7% 10.2% 21.6% 2.8% 11.2% 7.2% 8.8% 15.8% 15.4% 21.4% 12.3% 29.7% 12.2% 11.4% 44.3% 7.9% 6.5%

6.2% 3.9% 9.2% 15.9% 4.6% 6.4% 3.1% 3.2% 6.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 4.8% 7.7% 7.7% 15.6% 16.8% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 4.9% 6.3% 5.7% 8.1% 5.1%

0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 4.5% 4.8% 3.0% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 0.4% 4.0% 3.9% 4.0% 0.3% 4.5% 2.0% 5.3% 4.6% 4.3% 0.7% 6.3% 1.3% 3.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.0% 4.1%

max 0.441857 0.603738 0.589419 0.398014 0.422692 0.352029 0.528145 0.436959 0.532221 0.41721 0.479355 0.551552 0.45955 0.591607 0.531606 0.496212 0.475945 0.413291 0.45688 0.453485 0.460289 0.346283 0.576106 0.445574 0.442797 0.477489 0.596047

Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Crémazie D'Arcy-McGee Deux-Montagnes Drummond Dubuc Duplessis Fabre Frontenac Gaspé Gatineau Gouin Groulx Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Hull Huntingdon Iberville les-de-la-Madeleine Jacques-Cartier Jean-Lesage Jeanne-Mance-Viger Jean-Talon Johnson Joliette Jonquière Kamouraska-Témiscouata Labelle Lac-Saint-Jean LaFontaine La Peltrie La Pinière Laporte La Prairie L'Assomption Laurier-Dorion Laval-des-Rapides Laviolette Lévis Lotbinière Louis-Hébert Marguerite-Bourgeoys Marguerite-D'Youville Marie-Victorin Marquette

23.3% 29.9% 80.5% 23.5% 24.2% 38.9% 29.3% 38.0% 51.8% 51.2% 51.7% 11.8% 27.6% 13.0% 42.5% 36.0% 22.6% 44.8% 72.9% 34.3% 61.3% 42.3% 21.7% 19.9% 32.7% 48.9% 19.9% 25.0% 57.3% 29.3% 53.9% 40.8% 28.6% 22.7% 33.4% 37.0% 52.1% 32.3% 27.2% 41.4% 58.0% 26.5% 19.6% 48.4%

24.2% 42.9% 4.5% 48.8% 38.1% 42.3% 54.2% 40.9% 26.5% 40.6% 32.7% 38.9% 43.1% 51.2% 36.4% 31.0% 46.1% 46.5% 7.0% 29.8% 15.0% 35.5% 43.9% 52.2% 49.4% 22.0% 59.7% 57.4% 18.5% 23.0% 28.5% 37.4% 50.6% 48.8% 32.2% 43.7% 30.6% 25.4% 21.9% 32.2% 22.7% 44.5% 57.2% 27.9%

46.8% 5.1% 1.2% 17.4% 28.8% 11.9% 7.8% 10.9% 17.1% 2.4% 9.2% 2.6% 19.9% 5.5% 5.1% 24.6% 20.7% 0.9% 3.2% 26.6% 6.5% 8.3% 22.8% 19.1% 10.1% 21.3% 10.4% 10.0% 5.3% 40.5% 8.7% 8.2% 13.3% 18.9% 3.1% 9.2% 9.7% 35.2% 46.1% 15.9% 8.0% 17.6% 9.9% 7.9%

5.3% 17.8% 6.6% 4.8% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 5.6% 4.2% 5.5% 4.4% 42.1% 4.9% 24.6% 14.0% 7.2% 6.2% 5.6% 6.4% 7.9% 15.1% 8.5% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 7.5% 5.7% 5.9% 14.3% 5.9% 7.7% 7.9% 6.3% 5.7% 24.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.4% 6.1% 8.3% 7.1% 8.8% 7.3%

0.4% 4.4% 7.2% 5.5% 0.7% 0.0% 2.3% 4.6% 0.4% 0.3% 2.1% 4.7% 4.5% 5.8% 2.0% 1.2% 4.4% 2.2% 10.5% 1.4% 2.0% 5.3% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.3% 4.3% 1.6% 4.5% 1.3% 1.2% 5.8% 1.2% 3.9% 6.4% 4.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 4.4% 3.0% 4.3% 4.4% 8.4%

0.468306 0.428553 0.804783 0.487548 0.381314 0.422696 0.541719 0.40902 0.51769 0.511859 0.517067 0.421136 0.430771 0.511796 0.424853 0.360066 0.460532 0.464719 0.728775 0.343275 0.613132 0.422727 0.439351 0.521831 0.494419 0.48925 0.597051 0.574113 0.573266 0.405096 0.539146 0.408042 0.506404 0.488118 0.333771 0.437126 0.520703 0.351879 0.460556 0.41384 0.579613 0.445041 0.572396 0.483832

Maskinongé 35.3% Masson 13.8% Matane 27.6% Matapédia 28.6% Mégantic-Compton 36.7% Mercier 13.1% Mille-îles 39.6% Mirabel 15.8% Montmagny-L'Islet 46.1% Montmorency 28.8% Mont-Royal 68.3% Nelligan 64.0% Nicolet-Yamaska 26.1% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce 60.6% Orford 35.0% Outremont 46.1% Papineau 42.1% Pointe-aux-Trembles 16.2% Pontiac 58.0% Portneuf 31.8% Prévost 19.8% René-Lévesque 21.6% Richelieu 25.3% Richmond 43.2% Rimouski 29.4% Rivière-du-Loup 32.2% Robert-Baldwin 73.1% Roberval 35.4% Rosemont 22.4% Rousseau 13.1% Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue 38.0% Saint-François 38.6% Saint-Henri-Sainte-Anne 38.3% Saint-Hyacinthe 28.1% Saint-Jean 27.5% Saint-Laurent 66.5% Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques 19.2% Saint-Maurice 30.5% Shefford 25.3% Sherbrooke 37.1% Soulanges 38.1% Taillon 23.8% Taschereau 20.6% Terrebonne 18.4%

38.2% 57.0% 59.7% 53.5% 38.1% 32.2% 40.8% 53.1% 18.1% 28.5% 12.6% 15.5% 39.0% 14.8% 40.0% 26.1% 35.1% 53.9% 20.4% 26.1% 49.9% 60.2% 52.1% 31.7% 50.1% 26.4% 8.6% 49.3% 47.9% 63.0% 36.0% 45.5% 38.0% 42.8% 44.4% 17.8% 44.1% 46.2% 28.3% 40.9% 41.0% 51.9% 48.9% 50.9%

19.2% 20.7% 6.0% 10.8% 15.4% 1.6% 9.7% 22.2% 29.9% 34.1% 2.8% 5.0% 25.7% 2.2% 12.6% 2.3% 10.1% 9.7% 5.6% 34.2% 20.5% 11.7% 11.5% 15.7% 12.1% 33.8% 3.5% 9.4% 5.1% 15.7% 16.3% 7.1% 5.1% 17.5% 17.4% 4.2% 3.0% 14.0% 35.0% 5.9% 10.8% 10.9% 12.9% 21.2%

6.5% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 8.4% 47.9% 5.6% 4.7% 3.6% 5.3% 8.6% 6.4% 8.4% 4.9% 7.9% 16.5% 7.6% 15.3% 8.9% 6.6% 5.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 8.1% 5.7% 6.7% 6.2% 20.2% 5.0% 9.9% 7.3% 11.4% 7.3% 6.4% 8.5% 26.9% 6.3% 7.6% 11.3% 5.9% 8.6% 12.2% 5.2%

0.7% 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 1.4% 5.2% 4.3% 4.2% 2.3% 3.4% 7.6% 9.2% 0.7% 17.5% 4.5% 9.1% 5.1% 4.9% 7.1% 1.3% 3.9% 0.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 1.9% 8.1% 0.0% 4.4% 3.2% 0.0% 1.4% 7.2% 4.4% 4.3% 3.1% 6.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3%

0.382277 0.570073 0.597319 0.535364 0.380818 0.47939 0.407854 0.531479 0.460853 0.340532 0.683317 0.639892 0.390338 0.605957 0.399531 0.461473 0.420977 0.539232 0.579771 0.34195 0.499436 0.601587 0.52078 0.432453 0.500567 0.338137 0.730658 0.492647 0.47908 0.630319 0.38006 0.455275 0.382862 0.427653 0.443623 0.665371 0.441252 0.461807 0.350218 0.408688 0.409888 0.519489 0.488841 0.508694

Trois-Rivières Ungava Vachon Vanier Vaudreuil Verchères Verdun Viau Vimont Westmount-Saint-Louis

32.7% 30.3% 22.9% 30.4% 46.8% 13.4% 40.3% 47.2% 40.3% 66.9%

39.1% 50.3% 53.8% 24.6% 34.4% 61.0% 36.5% 25.0% 40.1% 11.3%

17.8% 10.3% 12.6% 37.7% 7.7% 14.5% 5.4% 5.3% 10.5% 2.3%

7.4% 9.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 10.2% 17.2% 7.5% 9.1%

3.0% 0.0% 4.4% 1.3% 5.1% 4.3% 7.6% 5.3% 1.5% 10.4%

0.390638 0.50257 0.537733 0.37711 0.467696 0.610281 0.403359 0.471604 0.402884 0.669124