Climate change - impact upon cycling and cycling infrastructure Helen Millicer, Member, Glen Eira BUG and Bicycle Victoria Board Thanks for permission to use slides from presentations given to PACIA members in Vic and NSW, March 2011

Michael Nolan, Associate Director – Climate Change, AECOM Karl Mallon, Director Corporate Risk, Climate Risk 31 March 2010

Introduction Climate change impacts – impact upon cycling conditions and infrastructure Infrastructure and climate change risks for Vic Primary impacts – impact upon cycling conditions Sensitivity of materials – implications for material selection Impacts upon buildings Investigation and planning for new and existing facilities What can we do? - Questions to ask Page 2

Climate change impacts upon cycling and infrastructure • Extreme Events • Degradation of Materials • Resource Demand

• Health Impacts • Long Term Impacts

April 2010, Prahran, Melbourne • Direct impacts to infrastructure assets and activities • Direct impacts upon public confidence and lifestyle

Infrastructure and climate change risk assessment for Victoria Currently infrastructure and facilities are designed based on past climate, not future climate. Significant risk to facilities, and its owners (investors) and operators. Assessed all infrastructure including: • Residential, commercial buildings, industrial and storage facilities • Transport, power, water and communications

Primary impacts upon cycling conditions and infrastructure (Slide from Climate Risk, Karl Mallon)

Sensitivity of Materials to Climate Change Impacts Material

CO2

Cyclones & Storms

Sea Level Rise

Concrete

M

H

H

M

M

L

M

L-M

Metals

L

H

H

M

M

L

H

L

Mortar

L

M

M

M

L

L

M

H

Timber

L

M

M

M-H

M

L

E

L-M

Coatings

L

M

L

M

M

H

E

L

Polymers

L

M

L

L

M

H

E

L

L

Low

M

Moderate

H

High

E

Extreme

Climate Resilient Industry

Extreme Annual Rainfall & Max & Temp Floods

UV

Bushfire Drought

Impacts to Buildings Scale of impact under: • Business as Usual • Mid Dry Climate Scenario

Garnaut Climate Change Review State

2008-30 2031-70 2071-00

VIC

M

H

H

NSW

M

H

H

WA

L

M

M

NT

L

M

M

SA

L

M

M

QLD

M

H

E

• Sea Level rise

ACT

N/A

N/A

N/A

• Heatwaves

TAS

L

M

M

Impacted by • Floods • Storms and cyclones • Storm surges

• Bushfires

Planning for new facilities

Position and resilience in system Adjust design standards & guidelines Materials selection

Built in flexibility, mobility, protection Change in technologies & expectations

Ability to adapt later • Design Guidelines for Climate & Sustainability, Major Australian Port • Australian Standard for Adapting Infrastructure and Settlements to Climate Change Impacts

Planning for existing assets

Manage system weaknesses Adjusting maintenance regimes Reposition and protect

Accept loss and early renewal Performance expectations

Enable emergency response

Guidance for Climate Resilience for Infrastructure, AusAID

The AGIC Sustainability Ratings Scheme Infrastructure covered: • Civil engineering head works of industrial processes

• Airports • Ports and marinas • Roads and tunnels • Railways and bridges • Cycle and pedestrian pathways • Distribution grids • Telecommunication infrastructure

• Water and wastewater supply and treatment infrastructure

What can we do? Ask questions and share information with government, community and organisations • do they understand their risks and exposure? • Are they assessing risk profile at regional or specific site scale, on programs, budget and systems? • Are they considering supply chain impacts on services, water, access, emergency response, community and economy? • Are we and they using the best information available at the time?

Useful links: http://www.melbournewater.com.au/content/rivers_and_creeks/rai nfall_and_river_level_data/rainfall_and_river_level_data.asp http://www.climatechange.vic.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0007/ 73195/ClimateChangeinVictoria2008.pdf Michael Nolan Associate Director – Climate Change, AECOM [email protected]

Presentation Title Presentation Sub-Title

April 2010, Prahran, Melbourne. • Direct impacts ... Victoria. Currently infrastructure and facilities are designed based on past climate, not future climate. ... Sensitivity of Materials to Climate Change Impacts. Material. CO. 2. Cyclones. & Storms.

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