Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova March 2016
Detailed Methodology •
The survey was coordinated and analyzed by Dr. Rasa Ališauskienė from public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting.
•
Data was collected throughout Moldova (except in Transnistria) between March 11-25, 2016 through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
•
The main sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Moldova older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote with an oversample in the capital Chisinau. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement.
•
Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures. • •
•
Stage one: all districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups. All regions of Moldova were surveyed. Stage two: selection of the settlements: cities and villages. o Settlements were selected at random. o The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. Stage three: primary sampling units were described.
•
The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.
•
Response rate was 50 percent.
•
Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
•
The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.
2
Overwhelming Dissatisfaction with Status Quo
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction
Wrong direction
Don't know/No answer
90%
83% 79%
80%
73% 74% 66%
40%
40%
41% 38%
5%
5%
Jan-12
9% Dec-11
14% 12% 11% 13%
Aug-11
17%
13% 11%
22% 21%
May-10
Jun-09
Nov-08
Apr-08
Apr-06
Mar-07
9% Nov-04
14% 15% 14% 15% 10%
41%
38%
19%
Feb-10
10%
47%
33% 27%
20%
51%
37%
33% 32%
Nov-09
30%
53% 45%
42%
31%
0%
47%
42%
50%
30%
54%
51%
11% 12%
5%
8% Mar-16
55%
Oct-15
54%
Sep-14
58%
Feb-11
57%
60%
Sep-10
61%
Jun-14
70%
*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal which resulted in nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks.
4
What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? Nationwide (Three spontaneous answers) Unemployment
34%
Corruption
32%
Low income/Pensions
28%
Poverty
13%
Emigration
10%
Economic crisis
10%
Bad government
10%
High prices/Inflation
10%
Political crisis
7%
Government does not care about the people
5%
Roads
4%
Economic situation/Development/Stability
4%
Instability/Chaos in the country
4%
Thefts
3%
Expensive utilities/Housing
3%
The stolen billion
3%
Social assistance
3%
Low standard of living
2%
Publc indifference
2%
Oligarchy
2% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5
What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? Chisinau (Three spontaneous answers) Corruption Low income/Pensions Unemployment Economic crisis Political crisis Poverty Emigration High prices/Inflation Bad government Economic situation/Development/Stability Government does not care about the people Thefts Social assistance Roads The stolen billion Instability/Chaos in the country Education problems Public indifference Expensive utilities/Housing Oligarchy Healthcare system Low standard of living Bad politicians Justice reform
30% 26% 25% 15% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
6
Is corruption a big problem in Moldova today? It is a very big issue It is not an issue at all
It is a big issue Don't know/No answer
It is not a big issue
March 2016
87%
8% 1% 1% 3%
October 2015
87%
8% 1% 2% 2%
September 2014
73%
June 2014
18%
5% 1%3%
81%
January 2012
14% 1% 1%3%
73%
December 2011
21%
80%
August 2011
15% 2% 1% 2%
61%
February 2011
29%
59%
September 2010
61%
November 2008
62%
5% 26%
40%
8%
3% 5% 24%
60%
10% 2%
25%
72%
20%
4%1% 6%
25%
66%
0%
3% 5%
27%
64%
November 2004
4% 2% 3%
31%
60%
April 2006
4% 1% 5%
33%
November 2009
March 2007
4% 1% 7%
37%
58%
April 2008
3% 1%4%
31%
53%
February 2010
3% 1% 6%
33%
57%
May 2010
2% 3%
80%
2% 2%
100% 7
Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or the interest of some groups? Majority of people
Moldova
Some groups
17%
Chisinau
78%
8%
0%
Don't know/No answer
5%
89%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
3%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 8
Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view? Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer
March 2016
74%
October 2015
12%
71%
6%
14%
9%
8%
6%
September 2014
58%
21%
11%
10%
June 2014
57%
24%
8%
11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
9
Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer
March 2016 3% (Chisinau)
March 2016 (Nationwide)
4%
October 2015 (Nationwide)
1%
0%
30%
10%
31%
15%
30%
10%
20%
52%
46%
15%
30%
40%
5%
4%
50%
50%
60%
70%
4%
80%
90%
100%
10
Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority of the Liberal Democratic Party, Democratic Party, Liberal Party and exCommunist Party MPs? Strongly approve
Moldova
4%
Chisinau
2%
0%
Somewhat approve
10%
19%
12%
10%
Somewhat disapprove
Don’t know/No answer
55%
22%
20%
Strongly disapprove
12%
55%
30%
40%
50%
60%
9%
70%
80%
90%
100%
11
Do you approve or disapprove of the new Filip government? Strongly approve
Moldova
Somewhat approve
6%
Chisinau 3%
0%
17%
Somewhat disapprove
18%
20%
10%
Strongly disapprove
43%
22%
20%
30%
Don’t know/No answer
16%
45%
40%
50%
60%
70%
10%
80%
90%
100%
12
What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve? Nationwide (Three spontaneous answers)
Job creation
26%
Wages/Pensions
25%
Tackling corruption
14%
Boosting the economy
12%
Utilities Prices
8%
Public order
6%
Consumer prices
6%
Recovering the stolen billion
5%
Living conditions
4%
Social assistance
3%
Roads
3%
Poverty
3%
Disconnect between the government and citizens
2%
Courts /Judicial reforms
2%
The dismissal of the bad lawmakers
2%
Emigration
2%
The need for concrete reforms
2%
Relation with Russia
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% 13
What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve? Chisinau (Three spontaneous answers)
Wages/Pensions Boosting the economy Job creation Tackling corruption Utility prices Recovering the stolen billion Consumer prices Social assistance Living conditions Courts/Judicial reforms Public order Roads Political stability Disconnect between the government and citizens Fees/Taxes The dismissal of the bad lawmakers Plahotniuc's and Filat's role in politics Emigration Poverty Develop agriculture Healthcare/Hospitals Education/Kindergartens
24% 21% 19% 19% 12% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% 14
What is your opinion of each of the following institutions? Nationwide Favorable
Unfavorable
Don’t know/No answer
67%
Moldovan Orthodox Church
24%
59% 57%
Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova Army
29%
12%
30%
12%
55%
Moldovan mass media
37%
47%
Education system
43%
Local authorities
38%
Professional associations
Central Electoral Commission
25%
Central Bank
25%
Courts of justice
20%
Moldovan Government
19%
50%
7% 23% 24% 20%
63%
27%
Police authorities
10%
46%
31%
Healthcare system
43%
40%
34%
Trade unions
8%
39%
36%
International Monetary Fund
9%
6%
67%
6%
57%
18%
63%
12%
67%
13%
75%
6%
Political parties
17%
76%
7%
President’s Office
17%
76%
7%
Moldovan Parliament
17%
77%
6%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% 15
What is your opinion of each of the following institutions? Chisinau Favorable
Unfavorable
Don’t know/No answer
63%
Moldovan Orthodox Church Army
60%
Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova
59%
28% 30% 27%
57%
Moldovan mass media
Professional associations
Central Electoral Commission
29%
Police authorities
28%
3%
63%
5%
53%
17% 68%
4%
69%
23%
Courts of justice
11%
63%
25%
Central Bank
17%
50%
32%
Local authorities
16%
39%
34%
Healthcare system
4% 5%
37%
39%
Trade unions
14%
43%
47% 44%
International Monetary Fund
10%
39%
52%
Education system
9%
6%
70%
7%
Moldovan Government
18%
78%
4%
President’s Office
18%
78%
4%
Political parties
14%
80%
5%
Moldovan Parliament
14%
82%
4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% 16
How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
March 2016 3%
11%
June 2014
December 2011 3% August 2011
5%
May 2010
2%
27%
February 2010
4%
22%
April 2008
2%
March 2007
5%
April 2006
1%
November 2004
2%
March 2004
2% 0%
21%
41%
21%
37%
27%
37%
20%
41%
21%
25% 42%
17%
14%
44%
24%
44% 20%
40%
60%
8% 10% 10%
14%
16%
18%
43%
26%
10%
15%
24% 41%
25%
9%
17% 20%
41% 21%
9%
24%
40%
16%
11% 22%
36%
27%
9%
29% 39%
23%
November 2009 3%
2%
36%
29%
7%
16% 27%
25%
September 2010
November 2008
30%
23%
February 2011 3%
1%
26%
43%
5%
June 2009
3%
26%
41% 18%
6%
66% 31%
4%
Don't know/No answer
58%
23%
9%
January 2012 1%
Very dissatisfied
22%
October 2015 1% 7% September 2014
Somewhat dissatisfied
15% 17%
14%
14%
17%
13%
80%
100% 17
If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy? Democracy is definitely more important to me
Democracy is somewhat more important to me
Prosperity is somewhat more important to me
Prosperity is definitely more important to me
Don’t know/No answer
March 2016
22%
October 2015
18%
0%
10%
13%
7%
20%
17%
40%
15%
30%
8%
53%
40%
50%
60%
70%
7%
80%
90%
100%
18
Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Worsened somewhat March 2016 October 2015
Improved somewhat Worsened a lot
1% 6%
23%
4%
September 2014 June 2014
4%
January 2012
2%
December 2011
2%
August 2011
5%
5%
May 2010
2%
February 2010
20%
1% 9%
November 2008
2%
April 2008
2%
March 2007
4%
38%
34%
39%
22%
28%
30% 24%
32%
March 2004 3% 10%
27% 22%
37% 20%
30%
40%
25% 50%
6%
19%
5%
21%
4%
7%
60%
5% 5%
70%
6% 10%
27% 37%
23%
17%
20%
36%
26%
5%
15%
29%
24%
18%
20%
30%
13%
3%
10%
42%
20%
5% 0%
30%
24%
April 2006 3% November 2004
26%
30%
3% 18%
22%
28%
2% 11%
June 2009
17%
27%
14%
4%
29%
34%
18%
6%
22%
31%
25%
7%
14%
28%
23%
2% 8%
19% 23%
31%
15%
4%
21%
33%
13%
2%
42%
24%
20%
November 2009
36%
34% 22%
February 2011 3% September 2010
32%
16%
6%
Stayed the same Don't know/No answer
5% 5% 6% 4% 9%
80%
4%
90%
3% 100% 19
Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Worsened somewhat March 2016
1% 5%
October 2015
4%
September 2014
4%
June 2014
2%
32%
1% 13%
August 2011
4%
February 2011
1%
September 2010
4% 1% 8%
November 2009
1% 7%
June 2009
1% 9%
April 2008
1%
March 2007 3% April 2006
2%
November 2004
4%
March 2004
2% 0%
28%
17%
2%
14%
3%
15%
3%
14%
4%
29%
36%
15%
36%
46% 39%
19%
17% 27%
37%
23% 22%
47%
16% 30%
40%
22% 50%
60%
70%
80%
5% 5% 1%
20%
48% 20%
9% 9%
44%
23%
4%
16%
41%
3% 5%
14%
25%
25%
4%
9%
36%
15%
2%
16%
34%
32%
10%
3%
29%
42%
2%
15%
31%
36%
2% 11%
9%
18%
34%
3%
29% 43%
1% 11%
February 2010
November 2008
39%
14%
15% 24%
41%
16%
4%
19%
45%
18%
2%
35%
38%
18%
December 2011
27%
33%
21%
2% 10%
Stayed the same Don't know/No answer
33%
24%
January 2012
May 2010
Improved somewhat Worsened a lot
5%1% 10% 1% 90%
100% 20
In your opinion, how will economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months?
March 2016
2%
Improve a lot
Improve somewhat
Stay the same
Worsen somewhat
Worsen a lot
Don't know/No answer
14%
October 2015
1% 6%
September 2014
11%
June 2014
21%
21%
20%
29%
30%
40%
10%
32%
24%
24%
10%
19%
30%
27%
6%
0%
34%
50%
60%
10%
11%
12%
17%
7%
70%
80%
15%
17%
90%
100%
21
What are the most important problems your town/village is facing at the moment? Nationwide (Three spontaneous answers)
40%
Roads
21%
Unemployment
14%
Cleanliness
10% 10% 8% 7% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Water supply/Drinking water Insufficient street lighting Transportation Low income/Pensions Expensive utilities/Housing High prices/Inflation Sanitation/Lack of sewerage
Corruption Bad infrastructure Bad mayor Gas supply Poverty Lack of cultural centers/Activities Lack of parking lots
No city hall/No mayor Emigration Traffic Homeless dogs Lack of parks 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
22
What are the most important problems your town/village is facing at the moment? Chisinau (Three spontaneous answers)
41%
Roads
33%
Cleanliness
13%
Transportation issues
10%
Unemployment
8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Lack of parking lots Unauthorized buildings Bad infrastructure Corruption Traffic Expensive utilities/Housing High prices/Inflation Bad mayor Ecological situation Low income/Pensions Public indifference Lack of parks Insufficient street lighting Too many markets and stores Homeless dogs Criminality No city hall/No mayor 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
23
What are the most important problems facing you and your household? Nationwide (Three spontaneous answers)
Low incomes/Financial problems
54%
Unemployment
21%
Expensive utilities/Housing
13%
High prices/Inflation
11%
Expensive medicines/Poor medical services
5%
Poverty
5%
Emigration
4%
Poor social assistance
4%
Health problems
4%
Low living standard
2% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% 24
What are the most important problems facing you and your household? Chisinau (Three spontaneous answers)
Low incomes/Financial problems
56%
Expensive utilities/Housing
24%
High prices/Inflation
18%
Unemployment
14%
Health problems
6%
Poverty
5%
Expensive medicines/Poor medical services
4%
Shortage of living space
3%
Low living standard
2%
Poor social assistance
2%
Emigration
2%
No problems
2% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% 25
Do you think the dissolution of the Soviet Union was a good or bad thing? Good thing
March 2016
Bad thing
Don't know/No answer
29%
October 2015
59%
32%
September 2014
35%
June 2014
36%
0%
10%
20%
12%
56%
11%
52%
13%
54%
30%
40%
50%
60%
10%
70%
80%
90%
100%
26
Looking to New Political Leaders
What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government? Nationwide Favorable
Unfavorable
Renato Usatii
Have not heard
Don't know/No answer
50%
Maia Sandu
45%
Igor Dodon
45%
Andrei Nastase
43% 41% 19%
19%
Valeriu Strelet
18%
Natalia Gherman
17%
Alexandru Tanase
17%
Marian Lupu
17%
Corina Fusu
11%
Eugen Carpov
10%
Dumitru Diacov
10%
Mihai Ghimpu
10%
7%
7%
10%
72%
6%
51%
19%
61%
11%
10%
41%
27%
45%
11% 15%
21%
17%
75%
13%
Nicolae Timofti
7%
57%
22%
Adrian Candu
3% 7%
58%
25%
Vladimir Voronin
11%
56%
28%
Pavel Filip
8% 1%5%
30%
34%
Dorin Chirtoaca
6%
49%
40%
Iurie Leanca
1% 6%
2% 6%
52%
23%
79%
12%
3% 7%
36%
42% 61%
12% 18%
82%
11% 2% 6%
Vlad Filat
7%
86%
1% 6%
Vlad Plahotniuc
6%
88%
1%5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 28
What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government? Chisinau Favorable
Unfavorable
Maia Sandu
Have not heard
No answer
61%
Andrei Nastase
33%
57%
Iurie Leanca
21%
46%
3% 3% 13%
9%
49%
2% 3%
Renato Usatii
38%
58%
1% 3%
Igor Dodon
37%
59%
4%
36%
61%
1% 2%
Dorin Chirtoaca Adrian Candu
26%
Pavel Filip
26%
Alexandru Tanase
24%
Valeriu Strelet
24%
Natalia Gherman
23%
Marian Lupu Corina Fusu
16%
Eugen Carpov
15%
Dumitru Diacov
13%
Mihai Ghimpu
13%
Nicolae Timofti
12%
Vlad Filat
8% 5%
44%
15%
7%
41%
22%
8% 14% 1% 2%
79% 79%
4%
64%
13%
38%
37% 12% 84%
20%
30%
40%
7% 1%2%
81%
2% 5%
85%
4%
92%
10%
7%
10%
67%
5%
7%
17%
61%
10%
0%
12%
62%
18% 17%
Vladimir Voronin
Vlad Plahotniuc
54%
50%
3%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 29
Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most? Nationwide (Spontaneous) Renato Usatii
27%
Igor Dodon
24%
Maia Sandu
16%
Andrei Nastase
13%
Vladimir Voronin
8%
Marian Lupu
6%
Iurie Leanca
6%
Ion Sturza
3%
Zinaida Grecianii
3%
Oazu Nantoi
3%
Vlad Filat
2%
Dorin Chirtoaca
1%
Pavel Filip
1%
Mihai Ghimpu
1%
Other
9%
None
16%
Don't know/No answer
6% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% 30
Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most? Chisinau (Spontaneous) Maia Sandu
25%
Igor Dodon
20%
Andrei Nastase
19%
Renat Usatii
17%
Iurie Leanca
5%
Vladimir Voronin
5%
Marian Lupu
4%
Ion Sturza
4%
Oazu Nantoi
3%
Vlad Filat
3%
Mihai Ghimpu
3%
Dorin Chirtoaca
3%
Zinaida Grecianii
2%
Alexandru Tanase
1%
Natalia Morari
1%
Niolae Chirtoaca
1%
Other
9%
None
18%
Don't know/No answer
4% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% 31
Which political party best represents your point of view? (Spontaneous) Nationwide
Chisinau
Our Party (Usatii)
17%
8%
Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)
15% 11%
Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase) Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)
4%
6%
5%
Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu) 2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)
17%
7%
4%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)
17%
7%
4%
2% 3%
European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)
1% 2%
Liberal Party (Ghimpu)
1% 1%
Other
22%
None
27%
9% 8%
Don't know/No answer 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% 32
How much interest do you have in politics? Interested
Medium interest
March 2016
Not interested
31%
39%
October 2015
35%
September 2014
34%
June 2014
32%
August 2011 February 2011
November 2008 April 2008 March 2007
April 2006
29%
25%
November 2004
26%
23%
March 2004 0%
10%
30%
1% 1%
46%
1%
45%
2% 2%
46%
3%
48% 31%
20%
1%
49%
28%
27%
2%
35%
29%
21%
1%
39%
31%
25%
1%
36%
30%
22%
1%
41%
30%
34%
1%
41%
31%
30%
June 2009
2%
36%
29%
32%
November 2009
38% 40%
26%
28%
February 2010
1%
29%
32%
May 2010
39% 29%
30%
34%
September 2010
3%
33%
29%
2%
35%
29%
37%
1%
33%
28%
28%
December 2011
29%
30%
31%
January 2012
Don't know/No answer
40%
1%
41% 50%
60%
70%
80%
2% 90%
100%
33
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections? Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
Moldova
Very unlikely
Don't know/No answer
76%
Chisinau
18%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
18%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2% 2%2%
4% 2%2%
90%
100%
*Due to a March 4, 2016 ruling of the Moldovan Constitutional Court, Moldovan citizens will directly elect the president on October 30, 2016. This will be the first popular election of the president since 1996.
34
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections? Nationwide Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
18-29 years old (N=210)
Very unlikely
Don't know/No answer
83%
13% 1% 2%1%
30-49 years old (N=406)
74%
20%
3% 2% 1%
50+ years old (N=585)
75%
19%
2% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 35
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections? Chisinau Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
18-29 years old (N=159)
Very unlikely
Don't know/No answer
21%
74%
30-49 years old (N=199)
20%
69%
50+ years old (N=230)
10%
20%
30%
40%
5% 2% 3%
14% 3% 3% 1%
79%
0%
3% 2%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 36
In a direct election for the President, for whom would you vote? Nationwide
Chisinau
Renato Usatti
20%
11%
Igor Dodon
16% 12%
Andrei Nastase
17%
10%
Maia Sandu Vladimir Voronin
16%
6%
3%
Marian Lupu
18%
5%
3% 3%
Iuria Leanca
3%
2%
Vlad Filat Ion Sturza
1%
Oazu Nantoi
1%
Mihai Ghimpu
1%
3%
2%
3% 2% 3%
Other
3% 4%
Would not vote
5% 14%
Don't know/No answer
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% 37
Do you support the idea of early parliamentary elections? Yes
No
March 2016
Don't know/No answer
70%
October 2015
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
18%
12%
25%
9%
80%
90%
100%
38
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections? Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
Moldova
Very unlikely
Don't know/No answer
75%
Chisinau
18%
72%
0%
10%
20%
30%
18%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
3% 2%1%
4% 3% 3%
90%
100% 39
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections? Nationwide Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
18-29 years old (N=210)
Very unlikely
Don't know/No answer
82%
13% 1% 2%2%
30-49 years old (N=406)
74%
19%
3% 3% 1%
50+ years old (N=585)
74%
20%
3% 2%1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% 40
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections? Chisinau Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat unlikely
18-29 years old (N=159)
Very unlikely
73%
Don't know/No answer
18%
4% 1%4%
30-49 years old (N=199)
72%
17%
5% 3% 3%
50+ years old (N=230)
72%
18%
4%4%2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100% 41
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which political party would you vote? Nationwide
Chisinau
Our Party (Usatii)
21%
10%
Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)
18%
Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)
12%
Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)
12%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)
4%
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)
3% 4% 3%
European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca) 2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)
2%
Liberal Party (Ghimpu)
1%
Other
20% 20%
18%
6%
6%
3% 3%
2% 4% 3% 2% 2%
None Will not vote
9% 10%
Don't know/No answer 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
42
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which political party would you vote? Likely Voters Nationwide (N=1125)
Chisinau (N=529)
Our Party (Usatii)
21%
11%
20% 19%
Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon) Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)
12%
Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)
12%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)
3%
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)
3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1%
European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca) Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat) Liberal Party (Ghimpu) Other
2%
None
21% 19%
7% 6%
3%
1% 1%
Will not vote
9% 10%
Don't know/No answer 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% 43
International Relations
How would you assess the current relations between Moldova and… Good
Neither good, nor bad
Romania
Bad
60%
European Union
17%
47%
Ukraine
0%
10%
20%
16%
26%
41%
40%
50%
4%
13%
20%
15%
30%
6%
20%
24%
45%
Russia
16%
21%
55%
USA
Don't know/No answer
9%
40%
60%
70%
80%
4%
90%
100% 45
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political threat for Moldova? (Nationwide) European Union
Russia
Romania
Ukraine
United States
None
Don't know/No answer
70% 64% 60%
59%
57%
55%
50%
40%
30%
38%
36% 30%
28% 29%
30% 26%
22% 20%
17%
22%
25% 22%
22%
19%
18%
12%
15%
14%14%
12%
15% 14%
10% 3%
3%
0% Economic partner
Economic threat
Political partner
Political threat
46
Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political threat for Moldova? (Chisinau) European Union
Russia
Romania
Ukraine
United States
None
Don't know/No answer
80% 70% 60%
68%
66%
59% 51%
49% 49%
50% 40%
39%
38% 33%34%
32%
30%
27%
20%
15%
18% 16%17%15%
14%
10%
9%
10%
6%
5% 1%
21% 18% 17% 15%
1%
0% Economic partner
Economic threat
Political partner
Political threat
47
If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be? The European Union
The Customs Union/Eurasian Union
March 2016 (Chisinau)
Other
Don’t know/No answer
56%
March 2016 (Nationwide)
32%
43%
October 2015 (Nationwide)
44%
38%
September 2014 (Nationwide)
10%
20%
4%
45%
46%
0%
5%
3%
42%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
9%
14%
1%
80%
7%
90%
11%
100%
48
If a referendum was held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote? For Moldova joining NATO
March 2016 (Chisinau)
Against Moldova joining NATO
28%
March 2016 (Nationwide)
32%
16%
October 2015 (Nationwide)
0%
10%
30%
40%
20%
19%
31%
20%
21%
24%
35%
31%
Don’t know/No answer
19%
40%
19%
September 2014 (Nationwide)
Would not vote
50%
27%
15%
60%
70%
23%
80%
90%
100%
49
What do you think the future of Transnistria should be? Ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomy Independent A part of Ukraine March 2016
Autonomy within the Republic of Moldova A part of the Russian Federation Don't know/No answer
48%
October 2015
26%
56%
September 14
26%
60% 67%
January 2012
66%
December 2011
66%
August 2011
61%
February 2011
60%
8% 2%4%
16%
6%
16%
7%1% 3%
7% 7% <1%4%
17%
5% 6% 1% 4%
20%
65%
8% 2%3%
11%
8%
18%
May 2010
7% 1%5%
5%
15%
June 2014
September 2010
13%
8%
16%
72%
6% 1% 4% 5% <1% 9%
7% 3% 1% 8% 12%
8% 2%<1% 6%
February 2010
68%
June 2009
69%
18%
5% 2%1% 6%
November 2008
68%
19%
4%1%<1% 7%
April 2008
17%
65%
March 2007
21%
61%
April 2006
4%2% 1% 7%
21%
4% 3%
80% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5% 4% 1% 5%
11%
12% 2%1%4% 50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
50
Given the current Russian activities in Ukraine, do you consider Russian troops in Transnistria to be a threat to Moldova? They are a real threat to Moldova They are maybe a threat to Moldova, depending on events in Ukraine They are not a real threat to Moldova Don’t know/No answer
March 2016 (Chisinau)
36%
March 2016 (Nationwide)
28%
32%
October 2015 (Nationwide)
26%
36%
September 2014 (Nationwide)
10%
33%
20%
6%
27%
28%
30%
40%
4%
36%
46%
0%
32%
50%
60%
4%
21%
70%
80%
5%
90%
100%
51
Women and Youth in Moldova
If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support? Would vote for the female candidate
Would vote for the male candidate
Makes no difference to me
Don’t know/No answer
March 2016
17%
October 2015
44%
23%
0%
10%
31%
35%
20%
30%
40%
27%
50%
60%
70%
8%
14%
80%
90%
100%
53
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women” Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
March 2016
Somewhat disagree
43%
October 2015
28%
32%
0%
10%
20%
Strongly disagree
29%
30%
40%
50%
10%
11%
60%
Don’t know/No answer
70%
4%
5%
15%
23%
80%
90%
100%
54
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people” Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
March 2016
Somewhat disagree
50%
October 2015
24%
35%
0%
10%
20%
Strongly disagree
28%
30%
40%
50%
9%
10%
60%
Don’t know/No answer
70%
6%
80%
3%
14%
20%
90%
100%
55
Demographics
Demographics GENDER
Nationwide
47%
Men
53%
Women
18%
AGE
18-29
34%
30-49
49%
50 and older
18%
EDUCATION
Primary/ Non-complete secondary
20%
General secondary
33%
Vocational secondary
28%
Higher/Non-complete higher
2%
ETHNICITY
Romanian
76%
Moldovan
6%
Russian Ukrainian
8%
Other
8% 88%
RELIGION
Russian Orthodox
7%
Romanian Orthodox
3%
Other
2%
None
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
57
Demographics Nationwide 2%
Manager/Director/Patron
6%
Specialist
1%
Technician
4%
White collar
9% 10%
Services/Trade
OCCUPATION
Blue collar
6%
Unqualified worker
1%
Farmer
4%
Student
29%
Retired (not working)
4%
Housewife
16%
Unemployed/Looking for a job
3% 3% 2%
Unemployed/Not looking for a job Other
SETTLEMENT TYPE BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD
No answer
39%
My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm
47%
The salary or income of some of the members of family
8%
Sale of products of the part-time farm
23%
Use of products of the part-time farm
36%
Social benefits
14%
The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods
1% 2%
Something elese No answer
21% 22%
Chisinau Mid-sized/Small town
57%
Rural area
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Demographics GENDER
Chisinau
46%
Men
54%
Women
27%
AGE
18-29
34%
30-49
39%
50 and older
8%
EDUCATION
Primary/ Non-complete secondary
18%
General secondary
28%
Vocational secondary
45%
Higher/Non-complete higher
37%
ETHNICITY
Romanian
36%
Moldovan
19%
Russian
1%
Ukrainian
4%
Other
85%
RELIGION
Russian Orthodox
8%
Romanian Orthodox
3%
Other
4%
None
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
59
Demographics Chisinau
3%
Manager/Director/Patron
11%
Specialist
3%
Technician
8% 10% 10% 7%
White collar Services/Trade
OCCUPATION
Blue collar
Unqualified worker
0%
Farmer
7%
Student
23%
Retired (not working)
3%
Housewife
9%
Unemployed/Looking for a job
2% 2% 2%
Unemployed/Not looking for a job Other
SETTLEMENT TYPE BASIC SOURCES OF LIVELIHOOD
No answer
50%
My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm
57%
The salary or income of some of the members of family
2% 3%
Sale of products of the part-time farm Use of products of the part-time farm
34%
Social benefits
11%
The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods
2% 0%
Something elese No answer
92%
Chisinau
0%
Mid-sized/Small town
8%
Rural area
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
60
Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 |
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