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Each combinatorial forecast contains a list of several core technologies that are changing conditions of possibility. These technological trends or advancements enable the shifts described in the forecasts.
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In a messy and complex world where accelerating change creates technological disruptions, dynamic social reconfigurations, and rapid organizational innovation, linear extrapolation of technological trends is insufficient. Instead, technological change will be driven by the combination and recombination of foundational elements. Combinatorial forecasting, then, involves the systematic intermingling of distinct technology trends with the goal of perceiving alternative outcomes that could occur when these elements are mixed together.
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FOUNDATIONAL TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS
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