([[OLKH^UVM[OL9LUHPZZHUJL[OL HY[PZ[*LZHYPHUV[YPLK[VYLWYLZLU[ [OLWLYMLJ[YH[PVIL[^LLU[OL O\THUHUK[OL\UP]LYZLI` KYH^PUNHTHUPUZPKL[OL L[LYUHSNLVTL[Y`VM[OLJPYJSL HUKZX\HYLLOH]LNLU\ÅLJ[LKILMVYL PTTVIPSLJVTW\[LYZJYLLUZ[L[OLYLKV\YOHUKZ[V TPJLHUKRL`IVHYKZHUKVYNHUPaLKV\YTLU[HSWYVJLZZLZHZ SVUN[OYLHKZVMZLYPHSVWLYH[PVUZ)\[HUL^0U[LYUL[NLVTL[Y`PZUV^ WSHJPUNO\THUZH[[OLJLU[LY·YLKYH^PUNV\YUL[^VYRLK^VYSKZ[VÄ[V\YUH[P]LKPTLUZPVUZ;OPZUL^ O\THU0U[LYUL[PU[OL[YHKP[PVUVM[OL=P[Y\]PHU4HU^PSSLUOHUJLHUKHTWSPM`YH[OLY[OHUJVU[HPUHUK JVU[VY[V\YTPUKZHUKIVKPLZ ([[OLJVYLVM[OLUL^O\THU0U[LYUL[HYLMV\YUL^WV[LU[PHSZ! ;OLJHWHJP[`MVY f l ow, HZ[LJOUVSVNPLZ^VYR[VNL[OLY[VJYLH[LHZLHTSLZZ LU]PYVUTLU[MVYO\THUPU[LYHJ[PVU ;OLHIPSP[`[V s e n s e ,  HZO\THUTHJOPULPU[LYMHJLZSL]LYHNLHSSV\YO\THUZLUZLZ [VILJVTLTVYLPU[\P[P]LHUKL]LUPU]PZPISL ;OLMHJPSP[`[V ONTROL, HZ^LHTWSPM`V\YO\THUHIPSP[`[VKPYLJ[YLKPYLJ[HUKYLZ[YHPU HTVYLK`UHTPJHUKVYNHUPJ0U[LYUL[ ;OLWYVJSP]P[`[V e m e r g e , HZ[OL0U[LYUL[\USLHZOLZP[ZLSMMYVTP[ZJYLH[VYZ»PU[LU[PVUZ HUKKL]LSVWZPU\UL_WLJ[LKHUK[YHUZMVYTH[P]L^H`Z ;OPZ0U[LYUL[O\THUcO\THU0U[LYUL[THW[YHJLZ[OLUL^NLVTL[Y`VM[OL0U[LYUL[[OH[[OLZL WV[LU[PHSZ^PSSJYLH[LV]LY[OLUL_[KLJHKL0[OPNOSPNO[Z[OLMV\UKH[PVUHS[LJOUVSVNPLZ[OH[NP]LYPZL[V [OLTHUKVMMLYZHZL[VMJVTIPUH[VYPHSMVYLJHZ[Z[OH[L_WSVYL[OLHTHaPUNPU[LYZLJ[PVUZVMWVZZPIPSP[PLZ UL]LYILMVYLPTHNPUHISL-PUHSS`P[PKLU[PÄLZ[OLJYP[PJHS[LUZPVUZ[OH[TH`SLHK[VJVUÅPJ[ZHUK^PJRLK KPSLTTHZHZ^LI\PSKV\YYLHSP[`HYV\UK[OPZUL^NLVTL[Y` 
COMBINATORIAL FORECASTS ;LUJVTIPUH[VYPHSMVYLJHZ[ZL_WSVYL[OLM\[\YLWVZZPIPSP[PLZ[OH[HYPZLHZ[LJOUVSVNPJHSHK]HUJLZPU[LYHJ[ ^P[OZVJPHSWVSP[PJHSLU]PYVUTLU[HSHUKV[OLYK`UHTPJZ;OLYLHYLTHU`WVZZPISLJVTIPUH[VYPHS MVYLJHZ[ZI\[[OLZL[LU^PSSILLZZLU[PHS[V\UKLYZ[HUKPUN[OLLTLYNPUNO\THUJLU[LYLK0U[LYUL[

SEAMLESS AND INTELLIGENT DEVICE ENSEMBLES 0U[LYUL[\ZLYZVM[OLUL_[KLJHKL^PSSHJJLZZJVTW\[H[PVUHSUL[^VYRZ\ZPUN T\S[PWSLJVUULJ[LKKL]PJLZPUHUPU[LNYH[LKLJVZ`Z[LT;OPZPU[LNYH[PVU^PSS HTWSPM`M\UJ[PVUHSP[`HUKPU[LSSPNLUJLHJYVZZ[OLZ`Z[LT
WEAVING A WEB OF APPLICATIONS 5L^MVYTH[[PUNSHUN\HNLZ[HUKHYKZLZWLJPHSS`/;43OH]L[HRLU[OL^LIMHY IL`VUKP[ZKVJ\TLU[KLSP]LY`VYPNPUZ[V^HYKZHM\SSZLY]PJLK`UHTPJTVKLYU HWWSPJH[PVUWSH[MVYT;OLZWLLKVMHKVW[PVUVMUL^KL]PJLJH[LNVYPLZ^PSSHSSV^ KL]LSVWLYZ[V^YP[LVULJVKLHUK[OLUKLWSV`P[[VHU`KL]PJLVYVWLYH[PUN WSH[MVYT0U[LYUL[L_WLYPLUJL^PSSILI\PS[\WVUOPNOS`TVK\SHYPaLKHUKPU[LU [PVUHSS`MYHNTLU[LKHWWSPJH[PVUM\UJ[PVUHSP[PLZ4L[HHWWSPJH[PVUZVM[^HYL^PSS Z[P[JO[VNL[OLYHWWSPJH[PVUM\UJ[PVUZMYVTKP]LYZLZV\YJLZ[VZLY]LZWLJPÄJX\LYPLZVYWYVNYHTTH[PJ JVUZ[Y\J[ZKPJ[H[LKI`[OL\ZLYVYWYVNYHT4L[HZLY]PJLZ[OH[[YHUZMVYTKPZWHYH[LHWWSPJH[PVU M\UJ[PVUHSP[PLZPU[VYLHS[PTLZVS\[PVUZ^PSSIL[OLJVUULJ[P]L[PZZ\LVM[OLUL^^LIT\JOHZO`WLY SPURZ^LYL[V[OLLHYS`^LI

PEOPLE AS PERIPHERALS -\Y[OLYYLÄULTLU[VMJYV^KZV\YJPUNHUK[OLHKKP[PVUVMUL^ZVM[^HYL[VVSZ V]LY[OLUL_[KLJHKL^PSSYLKLÄULOV^VYNHUPaH[PVUZ^VYRHUK[OLUYLKLÄUL VYNHUPaH[PVUZ[OLTZLS]LZ ;OLZ[HISLOPLYHYJOPJHSZ[Y\J[\YLVMTVZ[VYNHUPaH[PVUZ[VKH`PZKLZPNULK [VKPYLJ[[OLÅV^VM^VYRHUK^VYRLYZ[V[OLJVTWSL[PVUVM[HZRZ;VKH` ZVM[^HYLPUP[PHSS`KL]LSVWLKMVYJYV^KZV\YJPUNHUKZVJPHSLU[LYWYPZL HWWSPJH[PVUZPZUV^ILPUNWYVNYHTTLK[VWLYMVYT[OLYVSLZ[YHKP[PVUHSS`VJJ\WPLKI`O\THU THUHNLYZHUKZ\WLY]PZVYZ7SH[MVYTZSPRL,SHUJLHUKV+LZRMVYL_HTWSLJHUWYV]PKLKL[HPSLK HUHS`[PJZVU^VYRLYJHWHIPSP[PLZHUKWLYMVYTHUJL^OPSLO\IZSPRL*YV^K-SV^LYJHUHUHS`aL KH[HJVSSLJ[LK^OPSL^VYRPUN^P[OWLVWSL[VH\[VTH[PJHSS`HZZPNU[OLYPNO[WLYZVU[VWLYMVYTH NP]LU[HZR6]LY[OLUL_[KLJHKLZVM[^HYL[LJOUVSVNPLZSL]LYHNPUNTVIPSLJVUULJ[P]P[`IL[^LLU WLVWSLHUKKL]PJLZ^PSS[HRLVUTVYLZVWOPZ[PJH[LKYVSLZ^P[OPU[OLTHUHNLTLU[Z[Y\J[\YLVM VYNHUPaH[PVUZTV]PUNMYVTZPTWS`VYNHUPaPUNO\THU^VYRLYZ[VHPKPUNPU[OLNLULYH[PVUVM[OL NVHSZ[OLTZLS]LZ

INTUITIVE INTERFACES ;OLJSLHY[YHQLJ[VY`PUO\THUJVTW\[LYPU[LYHJ[PVUOHZILLU[V^HYKZTVYL ¸UH[\YHS¹PU[LYMHJLZ·YLK\JPUN[OLZRPSSZHUKRUV^SLKNLULLKLK[VPU[LYHJ[ ^P[OJVTW\[LYZ-YVTW\UJOJHYKZ[VRL`IVHYKZ[V[V\JOZJYLLUZ[V]VPJLHUK NLZ[\YHSPU[LYMHJLZJVTT\UPJH[PUN^P[OTHJOPULZPZILJVTPUNTVYLZPTPSHY[V [OL^H`O\THUZUVYTHSS`JVTT\UPJH[L^P[OLHJOV[OLY =VPJLOHW[PJZHUKNLZ[\YL^PSSKVTPUH[L[OLUL_[LYHVMPU[LYMHJL[LJOUVSVN`I\[ ^PSSZVVUILQVPULKI`OPNOS`YLZWVUZP]LHUKL]LUHU[PJPWH[VY`PU[LYMHJLZ;OLZL^PSSPU[LNYH[LHSS[OL ZLUZLZPUJS\KPUN[HZ[LZTLSSHUK[HJ[PSP[`I\[^PSSHSZVSL]LYHNLPTWSPJP[PU[LU[PVUTHYRLYZZ\JOHZL`L [YHJRPUNW\WPSKPSH[PVUWVZ[\YLLTV[PVUHSZ[H[LZHUKV[OLYUVU]LYIHSJVTT\UPJH[P]LJ\LZ9LHKPUN [OLZLPTWSPJP[PU[LU[PVUZ^PSSJOHUNLOV^PUMVYTH[PVUPZWYLZLU[LKHUK^PSSOLSWV\YTHJOPULZSLHYU[V WYV]PKLYLSL]HU[HUKLTV[PVUHSS`HWWYVWYPH[LMLLKIHJR-\Y[OLYV\[PUL_WLUZP]LHUKJVU]LUPLU[IYHPU JVTW\[LYPU[LYMHJLZ^PSS[YHUZSH[L[OLLSLJ[YVJOLTPJHSZPNUHSZPUV\YIYHPUZ[VHJVOLYLU[PUW\[V\[W\[ TVKHSP[`MVYV\YTHJOPULZM\Y[OLYZOYPURPUN[OLNHWIL[^LLU[OV\NO[HUKHJ[PVU

TOTAL RECORDING AND TRANSCRIPTION 9LJVYKPUNTPJYVWOVULZUL[^VYRLKZLUZVYZHK]HUJLKTLTVY`KH[HZ[VYHNLHUK ZLTHU[PJHUK]PZ\HSZLHYJO^PSSTHRL[V[HSSPMLYLJVYKPUNWVZZPISL;OPZ[LJOUVSVN`^PSS ÄYZ[IL\[PSPaLKPUZWHJLZSPRLTLL[PUNYVVTZKVJ[VYZ»VMÄJLZHUKJV\Y[YVVTZ[V KVJ\TLU[L]LU[ZMVYSH[LYYLMLYLUJLHUKZLHYJO0U[OLUL_[KLJHKLOV^L]LY[V[HS YLJVYKPUNPZSPRLS`[VILNPU[VLU[LYTHPUZ[YLHT\ZLHZH[VVSMVYTLTVY` H\NTLU[H[PVUPUZ\YHUJLHUHS`[PJZWLYZVUHSYLJVYKRLLWPUNHUK^LSSULZZYLNPTLZ )`L]LY`KH`WLVWSL^PSSILHISL[VRLLWHKPNP[HSZJYHWIVVRVMHSSVM[OLPYPU[LYHJ[PVUZHUK VYNHUPaH[PVUZ^PSSILHISL[VTPULYLJVYKZVMHSSWHZ[TLL[PUNZMVYWH[[LYUZHUKPUZPNO[Z

NEW OS FOR PERSONAL DATA (UL^JSHZZVMZ[HY[\WZVWLUZ[HUKHYKZH\[OLU[PJH[PVUHUK[Y\Z[TLJOHUPZTZ WYVNYHTTPUNSHUN\HNLZHUKW\ISPJWYP]H[LWHY[ULYZOPWZPZJYLH[PUNHU6:MVYWLYZVUHS KH[H[OH[^PSSNP]L\ZLYZIL[[LYJVU[YVSV]LY[OLZJVWLVMKPZ[YPI\[PVUVMWLYZVUHSKH[H! OV^[OH[KH[HÅV^Z[V^OVTHUKMVY^OH[YLHZVUZ(Z[YHJRPUNPUKP]PK\HSZ»KPNP[HSHUK WO`ZPJHSHJ[P]P[PLZPUYLHS[PTLILJVTLZLHZPLY[OLYLPZHNYV^PUNHUK\UTL[ULLKMVY KH[HWYP]HJ`HUKPKLU[P[`MYLLKVT·[OLHIPSP[`[VPU[LU[PVUHSS`ZLWHYH[LHUKSPURWLYZVUHS KPNP[HSPKLU[PÄLYZHJYVZZKP]LYZLJVU[L_[Z )`T\JOVMV\YVUSPULPU[LYHJ[PVU^PSSILL_WLYPLUJLK[OYV\NOZLJ\YLZLHYJOHISLWLYZVUHSKH[H JVU[HPULYZ·]H\S[ZIHURZSVJRLYZL]LU[UL[^VYRZ^HSSL[ZYLWVZP[VYPLZVYJSV\KZ;OPURVM[OLZLHZ UL_[NLULYH[PVUKPNP[HSHNLU[Z!ZVM[^HYLLU[P[PLZ[OH[^PSSL_WYLZZL]LU[ZHUKPU[LU[ZÄS[LYX\LYPLZMYVT WYV]PKLYZHUKJVUULJ[\Z^P[O[OLWLVWSLWYVK\J[ZHUKZLY]PJLZ[VTH[JO

CYBERSECURITY: INOCULATING THE INTERNET ;OL0U[LYUL[^HZKLZPNULKMVYWYVTPZJ\P[`HUKPZHS^H`Z]\SULYHISL[VIHKHJ[VYZ 9LZLHYJOLYZLZ[PTH[L[OH[ HUKYPZPUNVMHSSJ\YYLU[0U[LYUL[[YHMÄJPZTHS^HYL PU[OLMVYTVM]PY\ZLZ^VYTZZWHTIV[ZHUKV[OLYWLYUPJPV\ZJVKL;OLYLHYL SPTP[LK[LJOUPJHSHUKSLNHS[VVSZ[VÄNO[[OLTI\[UL^[LJOUPX\LZHYLILPUN PTWSLTLU[LK >P[OZLJ\YP[`HYTZYHJLJVUKP[PVUZ\UMVSKPUN[OYLH[ZMYVT[HJ[PJZSPRLIV[UL[ ]PY\ZLZMVYTPUNZ\I]LYZP]LJVTW\[PUNJSV\KZVMZWHTLUNPULZ^PSSSLHK[V[OLPUJYLHZLKHKVW[PVUVM +LLW7HJRL[0UZWLJ[PVU+70[LJOUVSVNPLZ^OPJOJHUIL\ZLKMVYIV[OKLMLUZP]LZ\Y]LPSSHUJLHNHPUZ[ PU[Y\KLYZVYHZH[VVSVMVWWYLZZP]LYLNPTLZ[VJVU[YVSJP[PaLUZ»JVTT\UPJH[PVUZ
ZJHUMHJPHSMLH[\YLZNHP[ZRPU[VUL]VPJLHUKV[OLYIPVTHYRLYZ[V]LYPM`HWLYZVU»ZPKLU[P[`HUK HJJLZZ[OLPY[Y\Z[^VY[OPULZZWYVÄSL5L^\ZLYHNYLLTLU[ZHUK0U[LYUL[ZLY]PJLWYV]PKLYJVKLZ VMJVUK\J[^PSSHPKPU[OLÄNO[HNHPUZ[IV[ZWHT=PY\ZYLJVNUP[PVU\ZPUNPUUV]H[P]L¸ZLHYJOHUK KLZ[YV`¹JVKLZHUKHU[PJPWH[VY`X\HYHU[PUPUNVMTHSPJPV\ZJVKL\ZLYZVYWVY[HSZ^PSSIL[OL VUNVPUNI\[\UZLLU^HYOHWWLUPUN\UKLYULH[OH\ZLY»ZL_WLYPLUJL

E3: ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENGINEERED ;OLPTT\[HISLSH^VMUL[^VYRLKJVTW\[PUNPU^PSSIL[OLZHTLHZ [VKH`!KL]PJLZHYLM\UJ[PVUHSS`JVUZ[YHPULKHUKJVUKP[PVULKI`[OLH]HPSHIPSP[` VMZ[VYLKJVUULJ[LKVYYHKPH[LKLULYN`
THE DIGITAL CONNECTOME 9LJLU[YLZLHYJOPU[VUL\YVSVN`OHZZ\NNLZ[LK[OH[[OLWH[[LYUZVMUL[^VYR JVUULJ[PVUZIL[^LLUUL\YVUZPUV\YIYHPUZHYLYLZWVUZPISLMVY[OLMVYTH[PVUVM KPMMLYLU[TLU[HSTVK\SLZ;OLZLTVK\SLZLHJOWLYMVYTZWLJPHSPaLK[HZRZSPRL YLN\SH[PUNH\[VUVTPJM\UJ[PVUZOPNOLYVYKLY[OPURPUNHUKJVUULJ[PUNIYHPU Z`Z[LTZ[VNL[OLY[VJYLH[LHZLUZLVMPUKP]PK\HSPKLU[P[` /V^L]LYTVZ[KPNP[HSUL[^VYRZPU\ZL[VKH`OH]LILLUI\PS[VUHTVKLSPU ^OPJOHSSPUMVYTH[PVUPZ[YLH[LKLX\HSS`[OYV\NOV\[[OLUL[^VYR4V]PUNMVY^HYKL_WLJ[KPMMLYLU[ [`WLZVMUL[^VYRZ[VILKLSPILYH[LS`LUNPULLYLK[V[HRLHK]HU[HNLVM[OLZLMYVU[PLYUL[^VYR WOLUVTLUH;OPZTH`ILHZZPTWSLHZ^PYPUNUL[^VYRZ^P[OHYJOP[LJ[\YLZHUKMVYTH[PVUZPU[LUKLK [VWYP]PSLNLJLY[HPUJVUULJ[PVUZV]LYV[OLYZVYHSSV^PUNOPNOMYLX\LUJ`PU[LYHJ[PVUZ[VM\Y[OLY Z[YLUN[OLUJVUULJ[PVUZ

ALGORITHMIC ARMS RACE 7YLKPJ[P]LHSNVYP[OTZHYLZVM[^HYL[VVSZKLZPNULK[VHUHS`aLKH[HPUVYKLY[V THRLWYLKPJ[PVUZHIV\[M\[\YLL]LU[Z;OLZLHSNVYP[OTZHYLWVPZLK[VYLZOHWL [OLO\THU0U[LYUL[L_WLYPLUJL>PKLZWYLHKKLWSV`TLU[VMWYLKPJ[P]L HSNVYP[OTZ^PSSYHUNLMYVTHU[PJPWH[PUNZOVWWLYZ»ULLKZ[VMVYLJHZ[PUN[LYYVYPZ[ H[[HJRZHUKJP]PS\UYLZ[7LYOHWZ[OLTVZ[PTWVY[HU[\ZLVM[OLZL[LJOUVSVNPLZ V]LY[OLSVUNY\U^PSSILPUKVTHPUZZ\JOHZÄUHUJPHSTHYRL[Z^OLYL[OLZL JVKLZ^PSSILULLKLK[VTHRLWYLKPJ[PVUZUV[VUS`HIV\[WLVWSLI\[HSZVHIV\[V[OLYTHJOPULZ UL[^VYRZHUKHSNVYP[OTZ[OLTZLS]LZ 7YLKPJ[P]LZVM[^HYLTH`OH]LJVU[YPI\[LK[VLWPZVKLZVMTHZZP]L[\YI\SLUJLYLJLU[S`ZLLUPU ÄUHUJPHSTHYRL[Z`L[P[ZTVZ[PTWVY[HU[JVUZLX\LUJLTH`IL[OLJYLH[PVUVMULHYS`WLYMLJ[¸HYTZ YHJL¹JVUKP[PVUZMVY[OLYPZLVMLTLYNLU[WOLUVTLUH(SNVYP[OTZ^PSSUV[VUS`OHYULZZTHZZP]L KH[H[VNLULYH[LTLHUPUNM\SWH[[LYUZHUKWYLKPJ[PVUZVMO\THUHUKTHJOPULILOH]PVYI\[HZ HSNVYP[OTZHYLZL[HNHPUZ[V[OLYHSNVYP[OTZ[OL`^PSSILNPU[VJOHUNL[OLPYV^UJVKLZHUK[OL ¸Y\SLZVM[OLNHTL¹PUVYKLY[VHJJVTWSPZO[OLPY[HZRZ7YLKPJ[PVU[HUNSLZWYLKPJ[PUN[OLWYLKPJ[PVUZ VMWYLKPJ[VYZJYLH[L[OLWLYMLJ[JVUKP[PVUZMVY[OLLTLYNLUJLVML]VS\[PVUHY`(0

CRITICAL TENSIONS 4HJOPULZHYLSLHYUPUNTVYLHIV\[O\THUZHUK[OLJVYLHYJOP[LJ[\YLVM[OL0U[LYUL[PZILPUN YLKLZPNULK[VHKHW[[VK`UHTPJWVSP[PJHSLJVUVTPJHUKVYNHUPaH[PVUHSJVUKP[PVUZ(Z[OPZWYVJLZZ VMSLHYUPUNHUKJVL]VS\[PVUHJJLSLYH[LZ[LUZPVUZ^PSSLTLYNLHYV\UKPZZ\LZVMVWLUULZZHUKJVU[YVS HUKJOHUNPUNO\THUHUKTHJOPULJHWHJP[PLZ;OLZL[LUZPVUZHUKTHU`V[OLYZ^PSSUV[ILYLZVS]LK V]LY[OLUL_[KLJHKL0[^PSSIL\W[VPUKP]PK\HSZWVSPJ`THRLYZHUKVYNHUPaH[PVUZ[VILYLZWVUZPISL MVYUH]PNH[PUNHUKTVYLPTWVY[HU[S`ZOHWPUN[OLM\[\YLVM[OLZLPZZ\LZ

Glass Houses vs. Black Boxes )PSSPVUZVMWLVWSLHSYLHK`MYLLS`ZOHYLWLYZVUHSPUMVYTH[PVUVU[OL^LI0U[OLJVTPUNKLJHKL^P[O \IPX\P[V\ZZLUZVYZHUK[YHJRPUN[VVSZ^OH[PZUV[ZOHYLK^PSSZ[PSSILYLJVYKLK;OLYL^PSSILSP[[SL JOHUJLVM¸ZLJ\YP[`I`VIZJ\YP[`¹HZW\ISPJHUKWYP]H[LZ\Y]LPSSHUJLMHJPHSHUKIPVTL[YPJPKLU[PÄJH[PVU HUKZVJPHSHUKLJVUVTPJKPZPUJLU[P]LZW\ZO[V^HYKUVUHUVU`TV\ZPU[LYHJ[PVUZHUK\UPU[LU[PVUHS [YHUZWHYLUJ`/V^L]LYUL^[VVSZMVYLUJY`W[PUNWYP]H[LPUMVYTH[PVU¸KVUV[[YHJR¹SLNPZSH[PVUHUK WLYZVUHSKH[H]H\S[ZWVPU[[V[LJOUPX\LZMVYTVYLJVU[YVSV]LYKH[HHUKPKLU[P[`(UK^OPSLWVSPJPLZ OH]LILLU^YP[[LU[VWYV[LJ[WYP]HJ`PU[OLKPNP[HS^VYSKP[YLTHPUZ[VILZLLU^OL[OLY[OLZLSH^Z ^PSSHJJVTWHU`PUKP]PK\HSZPU[VH^VYSKVMIPVTL[YPJZMHJPHSYLJVNUP[PVUHUKV[OLYUL[^VYRLUHISLK H\[OLU[PJH[PVU[VVSZLTILKKLKPU[OLLU]PYVUTLU[

The Human Internet vs. The Machine Internet 4HJOPULZJHUVWLYH[LH[T\JOMHZ[LYYH[L[OHUO\THUZ>P[OPUJYLHZPUNSL]LSZVMPUKLWLUKLUJLHUK HZTHJOPUL[VTHJOPULJVTT\UPJH[PVUWLY]HKLZ[OL0U[LYUL[^LTH`ZLLWHYHSSLSUL[^VYRZZ`Z[LTZ LTLYNPUNVYH[SLHZ[TVYLZLWHYH[PVUIL[^LLUO\THU[VO\THUO\THU[VTHJOPULHUKTHJOPUL [VTHJOPULTVKHSP[PLZ6ULZ\YWYPZPUNYLZ\S[VM[OPZKP]LYNLUJLHUKZWLJPHSPaH[PVUPZ[OH[O\THU PU[LYHJ[PVU^P[OUL[^VYRLKJVTW\[H[PVUTH`ILJVTLT\JOTVYLO\THUPaLK4VYLPU[\P[P]L PU[LYMHJLZ·\ZPUN]VPJLNLZ[\YLZHUKL]LUPTWSPJP[J\LZSPRLW\WPSKPSH[PVU·HYLWYV]PKPUNZPTWSLY ^H`Z[VL_LJ\[L[HZRZ/\THUJVTW\[LYPU[LYHJ[PVU^PSSILJVTLTVYLWSLHZ\YHISLHUKVYNHUPJHZ THJOPULZPU]PZPIS`VWLYH[LPUH]HZ[^VYSKIL`VUKV\YH^HYLULZZ(Z[OLO\THU0U[LYUL[NL[ZIL[[LY H[KLHSPUN^P[OO\THUZ[OLTHJOPUL0U[LYUL[^PSSIL\USLHZOLKMYVTTHU`O\THUSPTP[H[PVUZHUKP[Z ^VYRPUNZTH`ILJVTLPUJVTWYLOLUZPISL[VO\THUILPUNZ

The Cosmopolitan Internet vs. Internet Fragmentation .LVWVSP[PJHSMVYJLZHYLJVTWLSSPUNUH[PVUHSHUKSVJHSH\[OVYP[PLZ[VHZZLY[TVYLJVU[YVSV]LY[OLPYSVJHS 0U[LYUL[ZI`ÄS[LYPUNJLUZVYPUNZW`PUN[YHJRPUNHUKTHRPUNV[OLYKPYLJ[PU[LY]LU[PVUZPUUL[^VYR VWLYH[PVUZ;OLYPZLVMWYP]H[LHUKSVJHS0U[LYUL[ZKHYRUL[ZWHY[P[PVULK0U[LYUL[ZHUKNLVNYHWOPJHSS` YLZ[YPJ[LK0U[LYUL[ZJV\SKL]LU[\HSS`IYLHR[OLKLZPNUVM[OL0U[LYUL[HZH\UP]LYZHSS`HJJLZZPISL HUKPUMVYTH[PVUHNUVZ[PJUL[^VYR*V\U[YPLZSPRL*OPUH0YHUHUKTHU`V[OLYZOH]LHSYLHK`[HRLU L_[LUZP]LTLHZ\YLZ[VZLX\LZ[LY[OLPYJP[PaLUZPU[VSVJHSS`JVU[YVSSLKHUKWVSP[PJHSS`IV^KSLYPaLK0U[LYUL[ L_WLYPLUJLZ0UHKKP[PVUZLWHYH[LÄUHUJPHSLU[LYWYPZLLULYN`OLHS[OZJPLU[PÄJHUKV[OLYZWLJPHS PU[LYLZ[^HSSLKUL[^VYRZ^PSSILI\PS[^P[OTHU`I\[UV[HSSJVUULJ[LK[V[OLNSVIHSJVTTVKP[`0U[LYUL[

Augmentation vs. Dependency (ZYLSPHUJLVU[LJOUVSVN`NYV^ZUL^KLWLUKLUJPLZHUKKPTPUPZOTLU[ZVMMHJ\S[PLZVJJ\Y6\Y O\THUJVTT\UPJH[PVUV]LY[OLUL_[KLJHKL^PSSILTLKPH[LKI`H\NTLU[LKYLHSP[`KH[HV]LYSH`Z HUKV[OLYPU[PTH[LWYVZ[OL[PJZ9LZLHYJOLYZOH]LHSYLHK`MV\UKKPTPUPZOLKJHWHJP[PLZ[V¸YLHK¹ UVU]LYIHSJVTT\UPJH[P]LJ\LZI`RPKZ^OV[L_[TLZZHNLL_[LUZP]LS`>PSS^LZVVUYLS`VUTHJOPUL PUMLYLUJL[VPUKPJH[LPMZVTLVULPZOHWW`VYZHKPUZ[LHKVMKPYLJ[S`YLHKPUNIVK`SHUN\HNLHUKMHJPHS L_WYLZZPVU&6YHZTHJOPULZILJVTLHKLW[H[YLHKPUNPUKP]PK\HSLTV[PVUHSHUKILOH]PVYHSJ\LZ HUKJYLH[LJVU[L_[\HSTVKLSZVMO\THUPU[LU[PVUZ^PSSO\THUZLUK\WV\[ZV\YJPUN[OLPYV^U KLJPZPVUZHUKKLZPYLZ&0UZ[LHKVM^VUKLYPUN¸^OH[KV0^HU[[VKV[VKH`&¹^LTH`IL[VSKI`V\Y KPNP[HSHZZPZ[HU[¸OLYLPZ^OH[`V\^PSS^HU[[VKV[VKH`¹;OPZJYLH[LZHZ[YVUNZVJPHSPTWLYH[P]L[V THRL[OLWYVNYHTTH[PJJVUZ[Y\J[ZWLVWSLHUKVYNHUPaH[PVUZ\ZL[VZOHWLILOH]PVY^PKLS`H]HPSHISL [VW\ISPJV]LYZPNO[ZV[OH[WLVWSLJHUTHPU[HPUZVTLTLHZ\YLVMJVU[YVSHUKZV[OH[[OLZ`Z[LTZ [OH[WLVWSL¸JHU»[SP]L^P[OV\[¹JHUILTHKLTVYLYLZPZ[HU[[VMHPS\YL

.co spe c

Alg me orith bu aning ms w i as t will ful pa ll harn ess a t t h l te s ag e ain y ch o crea rns of h massive d ata te st o ang um the e the emerg an and m to generate achine b r pr ir ow ent an ehavior, edic d n co tive des i volatile propertie n s algo rithm order to comp ete s.

Po de ly w s o evo igned r l d lve t new o crea This is app te an one o roa e che nviro f seve ral p n sa nd ment for latform cap A s abil ities I to .

orit hmic Arms Race

s | m achine learning ta m ining and m a tc h i n g

C cu o g c rre n i ca omp ntly t i v pr llin le m e op g x a od C o “ er c nim el in m p tie og s nit als g th u t lev iv a i e er e c s a b r n g ag om p ain ed p rec s IBM by utin urs yste is o th g,” r t ms eb o o o ra r co wha f in. m p t it uta is tio n

Each combinatorial forecast contains a list of several core technologies that are changing conditions of possibility. These technological trends or advancements enable the shifts described in the forecasts.

Signals

sec.g

ov

Al g

lytic

d da

ana

hig

h-s

pee

tive dic p re

es

tur ec

hit rc

ka

w i nt ll b ch ag e s a e del r o des s w of n ibe th ign irin eu rate er e g r a s. d t to l-li ly o ge ke pr th fr ivi er on tie leg r ec er tai n

or tw

tin

g

ne ic

Signals support each forecast with concrete examples from the world today. These include new technologies, research, businesses, or other endeavors that demonstrate the direction of the forecast as a whole.

four potentials FLOW

se

c.g

ov

Functional assets are being fragmented and recombined into new arrays to provide more relevant, efficient, and personalized service.

co

nn

ec

to

me

l

SENSE

Computational interfaces are becoming more ubiquitous, human-centric, and invisible.

E

f

R E

co

m

pu

m m t.co

m

.co

an

ric

me

pat

ca

tifi

.net

alit2

ght.c

nli gree

r he Ai r o m T ng F r e w Po lopi S c av e n g i n g re deve ge archers a scaven t n a c Georgia Tech rese t a h er t v s e n e devic nd co printable, flexibl energy a c i t e n g a ambient electrom wer. and store the po

d

om

icien

ta

h rc ea orm s f o t re to e s cen lign i r t Re s a p e k s ron o u P r o r ne g t w in’s n r i N e bra v e v e the o i at c it U n g n t s th s o C gge rid. su 3D g a

ien

e3:

eff e n e r gy

ine

ed lop eve d rs , s, s che ear cture alysi ater s e r n e t a 2 re i re ch alit rg t C ing ar oftwa ols fo . h k g i or e s n to rints enl etw p ativ io G r e tem of n uantit alizat n foot u q o s s , i y b s s v r t a n e , an d ca ors ed s sens r array reduc e d serv ncy an ie effic

ng cy e

e th

i ig

.c

g, el rgin rs, fu idly a h rge rap r ss c irele tic cha eing owe w , ine plies ion re b e p er sup ar and k ices a devic nicat w o p l a s l r u Unive ev g , so rfaces mobile d growin comm charging su r t o d f an me e ofuel cells, and bi led to rmation a c s d n cy. e info developed a mprov y efficien i o t d n a needs nerg d (ICT) e technology ere

futurity.org

pitt

rk

tu

dyn sig n ing | y de r e t t a and b power

mput c l o u d s u p e rc o

cu rit y: I noc ula ting the Inter net

Pit t me Pat t nt k PittP it ( a eas ily in SDK) th tt provid es a at a l to th fac lo eir p rodu ws anyon ial recogniti on softw cts a e are developnd se to integrat e this ca rvices pability more .

t wo

i te c

re tu dva c te a su hi ake a, on c ar o t en ati ve ks d t nom rm ys o r o e o tw eer phe th f wa e i n N gi rk w ath en two rks n p ne two ctio ne nne co

sc

D w igi an ta le av der l A e “d thro n t s ig ita ugh : S lp c t he om i g m ro pu e m on ters r g i es ” w sear c C he chi y b e n t ng h e ou r S y s t a ec ur en nd se s a p warm i t y rob in Pro lem g vi gram s ati ruse cb s eh .They avi or.

ne a mic

h a rc

e

m ib

to r P a ta bi o co ern me m t ri c in i n ba de icio a ut h g and la -s us e n ti c a ti o m n c ni a c t n f c o f h in g e op ing de | da t a sur en tec is i veillan ne hn nc ce ss ol rea an ogi sin d s es, gly ec bio infe uri c ty. auth ting e n t the I i ca tion nternet ,e met hod ncouragin Cy s , an g u se o f be d new ISP rule rs s to e

re s

u

c

n og

v i ti

Pred i fina ctive Soft wa r e d ncia isrupts l Mar found kets R automa egulators have a key ted tradi fa ng software to be fluctu ctor in some e ations, x includin treme market g a “flash crash” in 2010 .

itectu res | obje context ct & -awar use e app rec s&s ogn ervi itio ces n

rk arch dynamic netw o

na

fa c

clo

y |d

G

ni

re

og -a

wa

er ec

ex t

ec

nt

t&

M e tra tan re sf serv of al-ti orm ice ea the me dis s a rly In so p nd we ter lut ara pr b. ne ion te og t, m s w app r uc il l h lb as ob j

ng

ea vi

ice

Dev

ent

co

dd

l ti -

o

ta

e ee

mu

rc

reposi

nc

L

sp

pe

r ea , ,s re llets cu a se s, w h ug ork ro th etw ed nt n nc rie eve s, expe er be lock ts. , will ion banks l agen , eract ita e int —vaults t dig onlin en h of our containersintellig By 2022, muc y nal data served b chable perso ll uds, a tories, or clo

ill a

es

O

h-

u ds

wired.com

ve scientist Deb d Cogniti before d h oo in his home C h il ophones 90,000 hours of g of 4 micr more than r d in as and 1 total of completely R e co11 camer ecorded a s of data, r terabyte ta l n 200 T o installed son. He ning. re tha is age lear Roy rth of h years, mo s of langu es bi er 3 the proc the o ov g vide mentin u doc

rve

u rc

Personal Robots: Drones, Swarms, and Anthropomorphic Assistants

ti

Da

Mobile Computing: Handhelds and Wearable Computing

u mp

al

Mobile Sensor Platforms: Pervasive and Powerful

ng

on

Real-World Interaction: Recognition, Discovery, and Filtering

mobile hardware

ers

sensing and recognition High-Resolution Sensing: Motion, Volume, and Activity

Coordinated Devices: Heterogeneous, Connected, and Adaptable

rP

Understanding Humans: Machine Learning

Smart Spaces: Sensing, Recording, and Learning

OS fo

Smart Surfaces: Scalable, Ubiquitous, and Invisible

New

Contextual Assistance: Analytics, Optimization, and Validation

Da

N

R

n

Autonomous Processes: Machine-to-Machine

embedded and local systems

h ig

scientist Deb Cognitive hood ome before hild es in his h o f C 4 microphon 000 hours 1 ing ore than 90, o r d meras and d a total of m ata, completely Rec ca orde bytes of d e rec han 200 tera ta l d 11 ing. T o installe s son. H t uage learn i n’s lang more Roy irth of h 3 years, ss of his so b over the proce the ideo g of v mentin u doc

mining and reasoning

Exotic Hardware: Biological and Quantum

In a messy and complex world where accelerating change creates technological disruptions, dynamic social reconfigurations, and rapid organizational innovation, linear extrapolation of technological trends is insufficient. Instead, technological change will be driven by the combination and recombination of foundational elements. Combinatorial forecasting, then, involves the systematic intermingling of distinct technology trends with the goal of perceiving alternative outcomes that could occur when these elements are mixed together.

Technology Enablers

al

p

iptio scr ran dT

Dimensionality: 3D, Immersive, and Holographic

com

se.

lap

life

Fundamental changes are occurring in the way the Internet functions. Forecasts for the core computational and network architectures for mobile and embedded systems are shown in the platform clusters. New and powerful functionalities for networked computing systems are forecasted in the workload clusters.

C o m b i n at o r i a l Fo r e c a s t s

Video Web: Synthetic, Interactive, and Hyperlinked

Open Resources: Data, Apps, and Services

su

on

O

T

itt

Fo u n d at i o n a l Technology Forecasts

an

ed

Utilizing Big Data: Simulations, Models, and Visualizations

Wireless Networks: Dynamic Configurations

so

ers

C

om

t.c

t pa

n

ch

te

dd

rendering and simulation

Re-Engineering The Network: Quality Performance

a ta | d

or P

is k

re

gy

o ol

ing

be

networks

n re , t io en re , t ic a op | hen c u ks aut es se or vic et r ic s er g h tw b io m and a c to r ou ne pp s multi-f hr nt . are a d t eve nts t-aw ce c o n t ex en rs, ge eri ke ital a xp oc e e ks, l t dig n ill b n n w , ba ige ctio aults intell v tera by rs— ne in r onli ontaine served h of ou c l By 2022, muc onal data ds—al ers l ou searchable p , or c sitories wallets, repo ta

OS f

r cy s te va . la pri isk lcu k y r ca oo c p e b i va Ap Fac l pr a er rm red son nf o g u p e r y I nfi ac co ates s riv r k P l ha that a oo eb ividu ber ac m d e F n in l nu a na Th e r how a fi n k d on ates r ba e ta bas gene s Da t r i c a nd s me ting set

a

dat

om

.c w

s to

em

w orkload

Cloud-Served Supercomputing: New Operating Systems

New

ent r nm i s ove t UK G men at the govern s s K r a m th ry prog that the U ing acce volunta gram s increas ata is a tary pro M i d ata M i d . er is a volun ng consum ic format M i d ata Midata try, givi le, electron ith indus undertaking w data in a portab al to their person m

r.co

ke ban

N

e vi

ta

nd

PLATFORM

computational cloud bis.gov.uk

s

da

ellig

rv

s ice

ea

nd Int

ps

se

ce

ive

S e a m l es s a

ap

&

rfa

bil

A i r p l ay M i r r o r i n g Air play Mi lets you wirelessly rroring stream fro m one iPads or iPhones to or mor your HDT e V throu Apple TV. gh an

|

s

| s ma rt su

ss

.com

n

es nr

lity

mo

apple

tio

e op

uters able comp | wear n o i at timiz and services s op s re apps e a c w o a r t p n t ex te d | co ma g o n i t rn au lea ne i h c ma

e rc ou

fa

ma

The S Sam a m s u sung n whic Sma g S m h a r into turns a t Wind rt W a on ow r ind e g u -dem is l and ar wind a tran o w T tou o ch- w in spare he n scr een your h t LC i n te o u s D rfac e e.

m

ble

iew .co

s

W

rev

An integrate d ecos ystem allow for sea of ne mless co tw and intellige nt assi ntent, co orked stanc e ba ntextua devic se d e on u l awa s wil ser rene l nee s d s . s,

gy

em

olo

ens

hn

te r

This map highlights the technological changes occuring with the Internet and how they will transform the human Internet experience in the coming decade. It contains seven foundational technology forecasts and ten combinatorial forecasts. The foundational technology forecasts are divided into two clusters: platform and workload, located along either side of the figure. The combinatorial forecasts are arrayed around the human figure and divided into four functional potentials: FLOW, SENSE, ONTROL and EMERGE .

u ts 0 3 rp use every red. he et sha res nc ictu o be p t .O on akes eos ati vid lic ly t p p ic a l p s e e a at -la on om time Ph ut n i it a a s

tec

at th into s ct e s e ru aliti ssu e t ti th ns n co ctio tive to ic n c re at n fu nne we m io o s am cat e c link i th er e yp h

us

li

e In

ce Voice, hap s tics, an d joined by r g e s tu es markers s ponsive an re will d uch as d an om eye t i rack ticipato nate t ing, h r emo y sys e ne tion tem xt e al s s th ra o ign a als t wi f inte l ,a l nd leve rfac oth ra e, er ge but multi-se no i m nsory n- pli will i n te r ve ci so fa c e rb t i n o s | n al aug me cu tent be n te es io d re . n a

ing and dsourc w o r c r to perform ed fo s now able p o l i e aditionally dev ications tion roles tr y l l l a p ia in ervisors. init rise ap d coord rs and sup e r e n a terp anag nt a ftw So ial en ignme uman m c so k ass d by h tas upie c oc

ns

itiv

E

d s a et, iled s k o r o p e i ck scrapb ps po om co gital for i e ela ial n c ep d st meetings Lif ec the lR o ke pa t sp are e lity s of all ta p s in a e ab i o s rd T l a ne h e the e reco f e ho . T ave in L i p ds e n ill h to m th co s w able se on ati to be niz nd ga o r ns a d n rificatio an tio o t c . e and s pl era ts ation sign ariz eo int igh te r y d e mm , p ir ins d bat | su er an 22 the d rch pow sea 20 f an o s | d s n net By f a l l e r n ea sor rag o tt sen

f

p ap

o ti a c

Intu

S

pa

W e en b I n a co ble t e mm th e nt to ea uni ir In s T c ch te h a oth te w rne is fr er, ith t ap am e lik e T and plica wo wi iss tio rk tte ue n let ro c st su r D om o se rs eli m cio an us ds .

or g

o

s.

eb

nt

w

te

a

lo f

in

erals

Em new o t i o n beh softw - D e and aviors are th t e c sha suc at c t i n g kin ha a g. s t n inf S m yp i n g er a a r t sp sma p h ee d, rtph o n us on e eo eu S f b se am a c rs ’ s u ks n pa men g is ce ta s a l s pro nd tat toty de e fr pin let om g es ,

E

eb

as

O c u s p e c This powerful, low-cos works across platf t gestu orms allo re rec wing it from a TV to a lapt o to be i op. ntegra gnition t ec ted in to ev hnology eryth i ng

S

w

P

le eo p

ph Peri

Legen d

o cu

u it.ed

om t .c

w

ers us s a w llo rite e a h w ce “I et rvi s, shar e m s r is fo en o.” Th plat d th to m at oss k an the T h acr boo use ” e n s ce n h ger Fa s ca T g n i d , r i s e ”t t it o rien T h eat os so f I f c r t , p s” to ee ger tw rig “t

m

taskrabbit.com

sail.m cts.c proje

ift t

el icha ng y M ed editi , b d rd c e r o p u W o o vel rowds to MS ds, e d n nt, eds c rectly i hundre yle So , emb ions di ut from nt. t e t IT p c um en t M unc e in y l ein a ding f eceiv g a do o r t n a i S ns to fre r r a ft Be proo users hile d d g w n a win me, allo eal-ti in r

users to bit allows Taskrab ned helpers t e e i r c b s f Rab crowd o k a s o t a t T en paym chores. offer ith w p l e for h

E

M

ONTROL

Boundaries are difficult to maintain with the Internet, but new forms of control will aid in the struggle for secure transactions and private interactions.

EMERGE

Machine learning will advance quickly, unleashed from human control and allowed to develop in unexpected ways.

FOUNDATIONAL TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS

PLATFORM CLUSTER

WORKLOAD CLUSTER

;OLMV\UKH[PVUHS[LJOUVSVN`MVYLJHZ[ZV\[SPUL[OLLSLTLU[HS[LJOUVSVN`I\PSKPUNISVJRZVM[OLO\THUJLU[LYLK 0U[LYUL[HZ^LSSHZ^VYRSVHKJS\Z[LYZ·JVYLM\UJ[PVUZ[OH[HYLLUHISLKI`UL[^VYRLKJVTW\[PUNZ`Z[LTZ

networks A cascade of fundamental changes in network software and hardware will greatly improve WKHSRZHUVSHHGTXDOLW\DQGHIðFLHQF\RI,QWHUQHW connections. 9L,UNPULLYPUN;OL5L[^VYR!8\HSP[`7LYMVYTHUJL ;OLYPZLVM[^V^H`]PKLVTHJOPUL[VTHJOPUL JVTT\UPJH[PVUZKPZ[YPI\[LKTHU\MHJ[\YPUNHUK K`UHTPJJS\Z[LYZVMKPZ[YPI\[LKZ\WLYJVTW\[LYZ ^PSSTHRLSH[LUJ`[OLZ[HUKHYKTLHZ\YLVMUL[^VYR WLYMVYTHUJL;OL0U[LYUL[^PSSVWLYH[LI`HKHW[P]LS` WYVNYHTTPUNUL[^VYRWLYMVYTHUJLMVYJVU[L_[\HS ULLKZH[NP]LUTVTLU[Z >PYLSLZZ5L[^VYRZ!+`UHTPJ*VUÄN\YH[PVUZ 5L[^VYRZ^PSSJVTT\UPJH[LH[]LY`OPNOIHUK^PK[O HJYVZZMVYTLYS`ZLWHYH[LKYHKPVMYLX\LUJPLZ+L]PJLZ JVTT\UPJH[PUNV]LYWLLY[VWLLYTLZOLZPUZ[LHK VMPUKPYLJ[S`]PHHJLU[YHSPaLKUL[^VYR^PSSPTWYV]L JVTT\UPJH[PVUZHUKJYLH[LHULLKMVYUL^KL]PJLZ ZLY]PJLZYLN\SH[PVUZHUKI\ZPULZZTVKLSZ

computational cloud 7KH,QWHUQHWZLOOEHDZHOOGHYHORSHGFRPSXtational cloud of super intelligent services, including GDWDñRZVWRUDJHFRPSXWLQJVHUYLFHVDQGDSSOLcations with machine intelligence and learning. *SV\K:LY]LK:\WLYJVTW\[PUN! 5L^6WLYH[PUN:`Z[LTZ ;OLJSV\K^PSSIL[YHUZMVYTLKPU[VHUVUKLTHUK ZJHSHISLZ\WLYJVTW\[LYMVYSHYNLZJHSLKH[H WYVJLZZPUN(K]HUJLKZVM[^HYLMYHTL^VYRZ^PSS THUHNLT\S[PWSL[OYLHKZVMWHYHSSLSJVTW\[PUN 6USPULZLY]PJLZ·Z\JOHZZLUZPUNKH[HTPUPUN PUMLYLUJLHUKYLUKLYPUN·^PSSILHTWSPÄLKI`[OL JSV\K»Z]HZ[JVTW\[PUNWV^LY

embedded and local systems 7KHSK\VLFDOZRUOGZLOOEHHPEHGGHGZLWK displays of every size, sensors, actuators, and PDFKLQHVVHUYHGE\ORFDOFRPSXWHUV :THY[:\YMHJLZ!:JHSHISL
mobile hardware A vast and complex array of connected PRELOHLQWHOOLJHQWGHYLFHVZLOOPDNHWKH,QWHUQHW pervasive in human experience and environments in unprecedented ways.

6WLU9LZV\YJLZ!+H[H(WWZHUK:LY]PJLZ

4VIPSL:LUZVY7SH[MVYTZ!7LY]HZP]LHUK7V^LYM\S

+H[H[HNZHUKJH[LNVYPLZJVTTVUHJYVZZ[OL ^LIHUK]HYPV\ZJVTW\[LYWSH[MVYTZ·RUV^UHZ TL[HKH[HZ[Y\J[\YLZ·^PSSLTLYNLHSSV^PUNKH[H[V ILJYVZZYLMLYLUJLKHUKJVTW\[LYZHUKWYVNYHTZ [VJVTT\UPJH[LKPYLJ[S`^P[OLHJOV[OLYPU[OLZHTL MVYTH[6USPULSPIYHYPLZVMZOHYLHISLVWLUJVKLVWLU (70ZHUKVWLUW\ISPJKH[H^PSSNYV^PU[VHNSVIHS VWLUJSV\KVMKL]LSVWTLU[YLZV\YJLZ

+L]PJLZ^PSSJVTL^P[OI\PS[PUTHJOPULSLHYUPUN JHWHIPSP[PLZHUKL_[YLTLS`WV^LYM\SWYVJLZZVYZ UV[Q\Z[MVYNYHWOPJZI\[MVYUVPZLJOLTPJHSHUK ZTLSSKL[LJ[PVU7LYPWOLYHSH[[HJOTLU[Z^PSSPUJS\KL [OVZL\ZLKMVYTVIPSLHUHS`ZPZVMHPYHUK^H[LY TVIPSLOLHS[OKPHNUVZ[PJZHUKUL^ZLUZVYZMVY9-0+ YLHKPUNHUKMVYZLJ\YLULHYÄLSKJVTT\UPJH[PVU [YHUZHJ[PVUZ

,_V[PJ/HYK^HYL!)PVSVNPJHSHUK8\HU[\T

4VIPSL*VTW\[PUN! /HUKOLSKZHUK>LHYHISL*VTW\[PUN

;OL0U[LYUL[VM[OLM\[\YL^PSS\ZLL_V[PJUL^OHYK^HYL )PVJVTW\[LYZ^PSSZ[VYLYL[YPL]LHUKWYVJLZZKH[H \ZPUNIPVSVNPJHSS`KLYP]LKTVSLJ\SLZSPRL+5(HUK WYV[LPUZ8\HU[\TJVTW\[LYZ·^OPJOHYLUV[IV\UKI` TLJOHUPJHSWO`ZPJZHUKIPUHY`SVNPJ·^PSS]HZ[S`PUJYLHZL JVTW\[H[PVUHSWV^LYHUKZWLLK

7LVWSL^PSSJHYY`HUK^LHYHUHYYH`VMIV[OZPUNSL \ZLHUKT\S[PM\UJ[PVUZTHY[KL]PJLZZ\JOHZJYLKP[ JHYKZPaLZTHY[WOVULZÅL_PISLLSLJ[YVUPJZZTHY[ JSV[OPUNIVK`ZLUZVYZHUKKY\NKPZWLUZLYZ4VIPSL JVTW\[PUNTLHUZ[OH[PUMVYTH[PVU^PSSILL]LU OHYKLY[VJVU[HPU·JYLH[PUNNYLH[LYULLKMVYZVM[^HYL [OH[WHY[P[PVUZHUKWYV[LJ[Z\ZLYKH[H

7LYZVUHS9VIV[Z! +YVULZ:^HYTZHUK(U[OYVWVTVYWOPJ(ZZPZ[HU[Z :THSSPU[LSSPNLU[JVTW\[PUNWHJRHNLZ^PSSIL JVTTVUS`PUZ[HSSLKPUYVIV[PJKL]PJLZSPRL[V`Z [VVSZHWWSPHUJLZHUKPU[OLLU]PYVUTLU[:^HYTZVM PUZLJ[ZPaLKUL[^VYRLKKYVULZ^PSSYLJVYKWLVWSLHUK SHUKZJHWLZJHYY`PUMVYTH[PVUHUKJVUULJ[P]P[`HUK L]LUKLSP]LYNVVKZHUKZLY]PJLZ7VY[HISLLSLJ[YVUPJZ TH`HSZVOH]LWLYPWOLYHSHYTZSLNZVY^OLLSZMVY JVTWSL[PUNZPTWSLO\THUJVTTHUKZ

rendering and simulation :LWKWKHFRPSXWDWLRQDOEDFNHQGRIPRVW applications outsourced to the cloud, devices’ FRPSXWLQJSRZHUZLOOEHXVHGSULPDULO\IRU rich user interfaces and graphics. Advances in rendering, simulations, and modeling will make displays a major driver of CPU chip performance, with photorealistic simulations dominating network device usage. <[PSPaPUN)PN+H[H! :PT\SH[PVUZ4VKLSZHUK=PZ\HSPaH[PVUZ 0U[LYHJ[P]L]PZ\HSPaH[PVUZ^PSSILHWWSPLKPUTHU` JVU[L_[ZPUJS\KPUNTVKLSPUN]PZ\HSPaPUNVY ZPT\SH[PUN[OPUNZ[OH[HYL[VVIPNZTHSSMHZ[ZSV^ HIZ[YHJ[VYJVTWSL_MVYTVZ[[V\UKLYZ[HUK (K]HUJLK]PZ\HSPaH[PVU[VVSZ^PSSJYLH[LUL^^H`ZMVY WLVWSL[VTVYLTLHUPUNM\SS`Z\TTHYPaLPKLHZ[OH[ ^LYLVUJLPUJVTWYLOLUZPISL[V[OLO\THUTPUK =PKLV>LI!:`U[OL[PJ0U[LYHJ[P]LHUK/`WLYSPURLK ;OL]PKLV^LI^PSSOH]LHTHQVYPTWHJ[VUYLUKLYPUN ^VYRSVHKZ=PKLV^PSSZOPM[MYVTILPUNWHZZP]L[V ILPUNO`WLYSPURLKHUKPU[LYHJ[P]L6IQLJ[ZPU]PKLV HUK;=Z[YLHTZ^PSSPUJS\KLJSPJRHISLO`WLYSH`LYZ *VTW\[LYNLULYH[LK]PKLVHZVWWVZLK[V]PKLV[OH[ ^HZJHW[\YLKI`JHTLYH^PSSJVTWYPZLHUPUJYLHZPUNS` SHYNLWVY[PVUVMVUSPULTLKPH +PTLUZPVUHSP[`!+0TTLYZP]LHUK/VSVNYHWOPJ 5L^RPUKZVMYLUKLYPUNJHWHJP[PLZ^PSSLTLYNL PUJS\KPUN+KPNP[HSPU[LYHJ[P]LHUKOVSVNYHWO YLUKLYPUN+PTHNLZZ`U[OLZPaLKMYVT+WOV[VZ ]PL^WVPU[PUKLWLUKLU[+TVKLSPUNHUKYLUKLYPUN HUKH\[VNLULYH[PVUVM+NYHWOPJZ;OLZL ]PZ\HSPaH[PVUJHWHJP[PLZ^PSSIL\ZLKPUH]HZ[YHUNLVM NHTLZHUKV[OLYPTTLYZP]LLU[LY[HPUTLU[TLKPHHZ ^LSSHZPUTVIPSLHUKSVJHSH\NTLU[LKYLHSP[`

mining and reasoning Machine intelligence and learning will EHSHUYDVLYHDFURVVQHWZRUNVVHUYLFHVDQG applications, automating a vast amount of what was once human work.

(\[VUVTV\Z7YVJLZZLZ!4HJOPUL[V4HJOPUL ;OLTHQVYP[`VM0U[LYUL[[YHMÄJPZH\[VUVTV\ZPL ZLHYJOLUNPULJYH^SLYZZWHTLUNPULZZVJPHSTLKPH IV[UL[ZHUKTHS^HYL(\[VTH[PJZ\TTHYPaH[PVU VMKH[HZ[VY`JVUZ[Y\J[PVUMYVTKH[HTHJOPUL JYLH[P]P[`HUKZLSMVYNHUPaPUNTHJOPULZ^PSS WYVSPMLYH[LPUJYLHZPUN[OLHTV\U[VMTHJOPUL[V THJOPULJVTT\UPJH[PVU *VU[L_[\HS(ZZPZ[HUJL! (UHS`[PJZ6W[PTPaH[PVUHUK=HSPKH[PVU 7V^LYM\SS`YLZWVUZP]LHUKWYLKPJ[P]LHUHS`[PJ JHWHIPSP[PLZ^PSSLTLYNLMYVTTPUPUNHUKTVKLSPUN VWLUZVJPHSNYHWOKH[H·JYLH[PUNUL^ZLY]PJLZ SL]LYHNPUN\ZLYTVKLSPUNHUKWZ`JOVSVNPJHSWYVÄSPUN 4HJOPULPU[LSSPNLUJL^PSSWYV]PKL[VVSZ[V]HSPKH[L[OL ZV\YJLZHUKPU[LNYP[`VMKH[HPUJS\KPUNWYV]LUHUJL [YHJRPUNZV\YJLKL[LYTPUH[PVUHUKH\[OLU[PJH[PVUVM OPNO]HS\L[YHUZHJ[PVUZ
sensing and recognition Devices equipped with sensor software DQGLQIHUHQFHHQJLQHVZLOOEHDEOHWRUHFRJQL]H ðQHJUDLQHGGHWDLOVRIWKHSK\VLFDOZRUOGPDNLQJ WKHPPXFKPRUHFRQWH[WDZDUHDQGFDSDEOHRI anticipating user needs. /PNO9LZVS\[PVU:LUZPUN! 4V[PVU=VS\TLHUK(J[P]P[` 2PULJ[SPRLZLUZVYZMVYKL[LJ[PUNNLZ[\YLZHUHS`aPUN IVK`TV]LTLU[ZHUKJHW[\YPUN+ZOHWLZ^PSSIL LTILKKLKPUV\YKL]PJLZHUKWO`ZPJHSZWHJLZ;OL KL]PJLZ^PSSILHISL[V[LSS^OH[HWLYZVUPZKVPUN HUK^PSSZ\NNLZ[VIQLJ[ZPU[OLPYLU]PYVUTLU[[OH[ JV\SKOLSW^P[O[OLPY[HZR*VTW\[LYNLULYH[LK NYHWOPJZ^PSSILV]LYSHPKVUTV]PUNWO`ZPJHSVIQLJ[Z PUH\NTLU[LKYLHSP[`]PL^Z 9LHS>VYSK0U[LYHJ[PVU! 9LJVNUP[PVU+PZJV]LY`HUK-PS[LYPUN 4VIPSLKL]PJLZ^PSSILHISL[VZLUZLHUKJVTW\[L [OLPYV^USVJH[PVUZL]LUPUKVVYZKV^U[V[OL JLU[PTL[LY\ZPUNWYLJPZLNLVWVZP[PVUPUN(9PTHNL [HNZHUKVIQLJ[YLJVNUP[PVU+YH^PUNVUPUMVYTH[PVU MYVTZLUZVYZSVJHSZLY]LYZHUK[OLJSV\K[OL`^PSS WYV]PKLHMV\UKH[PVUMVYUL^NLULYH[PVUZVMSVJH[PVU PU[LSSPNLU[ZLY]PJLZZ\JOHZÄS[LYPUN[OH[[HRLZ \U^HU[LK]PZ\HSZV\[VM[OLLU]PYVUTLU[

HOW TO USE THIS MAP: Thinking Systematically about the Future 0-;-»Z;LJOUVSVN`/VYPaVUZ7YVNYHTJYLH[LK[OL0U[LYUL[O\THUcO\THU0U[LYUL[THW[VOPNOSPNO[[OL [LJOUVSVNPLZHUKJVTIPUH[VYPHSPUUV]H[PVUZ[OH[^PSSNP]LYPZL[VHTVYLO\THU^LI^P[OUL^RPUKZVM L_WLYPLUJLZPUV\YOVTLZV\Y^VYRWSHJLZHUKPUV[OLYJVU[L_[ZVMV\YKHPS`SP]LZ ;OLJVTIPUH[VYPHSMVYLJHZ[ZHYLVYNHUPaLKHYV\UKMV\YUL^WV[LU[PHSZ[OH[^PSSKLÄUL0U[LYUL[ M\UJ[PVUHSP[`HUKL_WLYPLUJL·^OPJO^LJHSS F LOW, SENSE, ONTROL HUK E M E R G E . ;OLTHWUV[VUS`VYPLU[Z`V\[V[OL[LJOUVSVNPJHSI\PSKPUNISVJRZVM0U[LYUL[L_WLYPLUJLI\[HSZVZLY]LZ HZHN\PKL[VOLSW`V\[OPURZ`Z[LTH[PJHSS`HIV\[[OLM\[\YLHZ`V\L_WSVYLOV^[OLZL[LJOUVSVNPLZPU JVTIPUH[PVUWYVK\JLUL^JHWHJP[PLZMVYWYVK\J[P]P[`JVUULJ[P]P[`JVTT\UPJH[PVUHUKWHY[PJPWH[PVU
Working with this Map EXPLORE[OLMVYLJHZ[Z·VYNHUPaLKHYV\UK[OLMV\YUL^WV[LU[PHSZVM

F LOW, SENSE,

ONTROL HUK E M E R G E ·[OH[^PSSKLÄULM\[\YL0U[LYUL[L_WLYPLUJL

FOCUSVU[OLJVTIPUH[VYPHSMVYLJHZ[Z[VSLHYUTVYLHIV\[[OLIPNZ[VYPLZNP]PUNYPZL[V[OL TVYLO\THU0U[LYUL[

DRILL DOWNPU[V[OLMV\UKH[PVUHS[LJOUVSVN`MVYLJHZ[Z[V\UKLYZ[HUK[OLJVYLJVTW\[H[PVUHS HUKUL[^VYRHYJOP[LJ[\YLZMVYTVIPSLHUKLTILKKLKZ`Z[LTZHZ^LSSHZZVWOPZ[PJH[LKUL^ M\UJ[PVUHSP[PLZMVYUL[^VYRLKJVTW\[PUNZ`Z[LTZ CONSIDER [OLWV[LU[PHS[LUZPVUZKPSLTTHZVYJVUÅPJ[PUNPTWSPJH[PVUZ[OH[TH`HYPZLMYVT [OLO\THUJLU[LYLK0U[LYUL[

RE-COMBINE[OLMVYLJHZ[Z[VNHPUPUZPNO[PU[V[OLLTLYNPUNO\THUJLU[LYLK0U[LYUL[· HUKcreate`V\YV^UJVTIPUH[VYPHSMVYLJHZ[Z

Institute for the Future ;OL0UZ[P[\[LMVY[OL-\[\YL0-;-PZHUPUKLWLUKLU[UVUWYVÄ[Z[YH[LNPJYLZLHYJONYV\W^P[OTVYL[OHU`LHYZVM MVYLJHZ[PUNL_WLYPLUJL;OLJVYLVMV\Y^VYRPZPKLU[PM`PUNLTLYNPUN[YLUKZHUKKPZJVU[PU\P[PLZ[OH[^PSS[YHUZMVYT NSVIHSZVJPL[`HUK[OLNSVIHSTHYRL[WSHJL>LWYV]PKLV\YTLTILYZ^P[OPUZPNO[ZPU[VI\ZPULZZZ[YH[LN`KLZPNU WYVJLZZPUUV]H[PVUHUKZVJPHSKPSLTTHZ6\YYLZLHYJOZWHUZHIYVHK[LYYP[VY`VMKLLWS`[YHUZMVYTH[P]L[YLUKZ MYVTOLHS[OHUKOLHS[OJHYL[V[LJOUVSVN`[OL^VYRWSHJLHUKO\THUPKLU[P[`;OL0UZ[P[\[LMVY[OL-\[\YLPZSVJH[LK PU7HSV(S[V*HSPMVYUPH Technology Horizons Program ;OL;LJOUVSVN`/VYPaVUZ7YVNYHTJVTIPULZHKLLW\UKLYZ[HUKPUNVM[LJOUVSVN`HUKZVJPL[HSMVYJLZ[VPKLU[PM` HUKL]HS\H[LKPZJVU[PU\P[PLZHUKPUUV]H[PVUZPU[OLUL_[[OYLL[V[LU`LHYZ>LOLSWVYNHUPaH[PVUZKL]LSVWPUZPNO[Z HUKZ[YH[LNPJ[VVSZ[VIL[[LYWVZP[PVU[OLTZLS]LZMVY[OLM\[\YL6\YHWWYVHJO[V[LJOUVSVN`MVYLJHZ[PUNPZ\UPX\L· ^LW\[WLVWSLH[[OLJLU[LYVMV\YMVYLJHZ[ZLPZZ

0UZ[P[\[LMVY[OL-\[\YL(SSYPNO[ZYLZLY]LK(SSIYHUKZHUK[YHKLTHYRZYLTHPUWYVWLY[`VM[OLPYYLZWLJ[P]LV^ULYZ 9LWYVK\J[PVUPZWYVOPIP[LK^P[OV\[^YP[[LUJVUZLU[:9

Internet human - Institute for the Future

Internet users of the next decade will access computational networks using multiple connected .... New user agreements and Internet service provider codes ..... er 3 y e ar s, m o re th a n 2. 0. 0 te ra b y te s o f d a ta. , c o m p le te ly d o c u m e.

8MB Sizes 5 Downloads 591 Views

Recommend Documents

Internet human - Institute for the Future
Meta application software will stitch together ... given task. Over the next decade, software technologies leveraging mobile connectivity between ..... apple.com.

Sensory Transformation - Institute for the Future
foreshadow the probable popularity of next-generation memory and concentra- tion drugs. ... practices that will be important over the next ten years and some of the implica- ... of everyday living, will lead to one thing for certain: more media. ....

Six Competencies for the Future of Human Resources
Human Resources, IBM Corporation). "The concepts and competencies presented in this book provide HR leaders with new insights". (Gina Qiao, Senior Vice ...

The future impact of the Internet on higher education.pdf ...
The future impact of the Internet on higher education.pdf. The future impact of the Internet on higher education.pdf. Open. Extract. Open with. Sign In. Main menu.

Child abuse and the Internet - Australian Institute of Family Studies
land Crime Commission and Queensland Police Service. 2000). The average age of a non-familial offender at the time of his first child sexual offence was 30 ...

Child abuse and the Internet - Australian Institute of Family Studies
ple, Australia's national Kids Help Line offers online sup- port and information ..... location of child sex tourism operators and the sale and traf- ficking of children ...

Towards a Future Internet Architecture
offers little feedback for hosts to perform root cause discovery and analysis. ... agement, fast data mining and retrieval, refreshing and removal optimized for dif-.

Towards a Future Internet Architecture
This article is published with open access at SpringerLink.com. Towards ... 5 Center of Research and Technology Hellas/ITI, Greece daras@iti. ..... mobility is enabled by wireless networks, packets can be dropped because of corrup- tion loss ...

The Institute for Applied Ecology
Habitat Restoration, Conservation Research, Ecological Education, Estuary Technical Group, and the Native Seed Network. Thanks to a dedicated staff and ...

India Labour and Employment Report 2014 - Institute for Human ...
J. Krishnamurty, Visiting Professor, IHD; Former Professor, Delhi School of Economics. Gerry Rodgers, Visiting ... age group 15 years and above) at 56 per cent is low in India ... one-tenth have had vocational training, either formal or informal.

The Economic Scope and Future of US-India - Peterson Institute for ...
Feb 24, 2015 - the 11,265 H-1B visas and 10 of the top 25 companies, including the ... The largest Indian IT services and software firm, TCS, is not shown in ...

IASThe Institute Letter - Institute for Advanced Study
In addition to ad hoc cooperation on a shared holy ...... asymptotically AdS solutions of Einstein's equations with a negative ..... www.facebook.com/Institute.

The Economic Scope and Future of US-India - Peterson Institute for ...
Feb 24, 2015 - and shows a roughly similar trend for Indian L-2 visa recipients as for .... As such, although the services trade business model of a limited number ...... percent of the total workforce in FY2015, 65 percent in FY2016, and 50 ...

IASThe Institute Letter - Institute for Advanced Study
School of Natural Sciences, began looking closely at the data. ..... 2. 2 News of the Institute Community. 3 A Room, an Office, a Library, a World .... A Year (Well, Nine Months) in the Life of an IAS Member ...... mechanization of their trade.

The Institute for Social Internet Public Policy practices what it ...
Mitchell put one of her trusted IT managers in charge of looking at the ... BUSINESS. “We immediately saw ... cOmplIANcE. Google Apps security and compliance.

Does the Internet Limit Human Rights Protection The Case of ...
Does the Internet Limit Human Rights Protection The Case of Revenge Porn Bjarnadottir Maria.pdf. Does the Internet Limit Human Rights Protection The Case of ...

Existential Risk - Future of Humanity Institute - University of Oxford
and policy-makers out of more than 100 proposals emerged from three ... require increasing levels of trust and internation- al collaboration ... al, and should prepare for low-probability high-im- pact scenarios of ... Security Policy. In addition, w

Global Catastrophic Risks Survey - Future of Humanity Institute
Report #2008-1, Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University: pp. 1-5. ... survey was circulated among participants, asking them to make their best guess at the chance that ... Several suggested totalitarian world government, climate-induced.

Existential Risk - Future of Humanity Institute - University of Oxford
finkel, Professor Timo Goeschl, Professor Lawrence. Gostin, Dr. Petri Hakkarainen, Dr. Alan W. Harris,. Professor Alan Harris, Dr. Hauke Hildebrandt, Dr.

Internet finance growing rapidly in China - Nomura Research Institute
In addition to being a new business, Internet finance is a. 5) China Monetary Policy Report. Quarter Two, 2013. The report noted a number of advantages of. Internet ... Inquiries to : Financial Technology and Market Research Department.

Following our Digital Footprints: - Oxford Internet Institute - University ...
University of Oxford for the Oxford Internet Institute 2011. This work may ..... 7. …the infrastructure provider who is hosting the data in the cloud (e.g. Amazon EC2). In such a .... Page 10 ..... Examples of best practice here would be very helpf