Institute for International Integration Studies IIIS Discussion Paper

No.245/ March 2008

Open International Markets without Exclusion: Encompassing Domestic Institutions, Excludable Goods, and International Public Goods

William Phelan Department of Political Science, Trinity College Dublin

IIIS Discussion Paper No. 245

Open International Markets without Exclusion: Encompassing Domestic Institutions, Excludable Goods, and International Public Goods

William Phelan

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OPEN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS WITHOUT EXCLUSION: ENCOMPASSING DOMESTIC INSTITUTIONS, EXCLUDABLE GOODS, AND INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC GOODS

William Phelan Department of Political Science Trinity College, Dublin

[email protected]

ABSTRACT This paper uses the concept of the ‘encompassing group’ to set out a collective action theory based explanation for the maintenance of open international markets to add to existing explanations for stable international market regimes, hegemonic stability and tit-for-tat specific reciprocity. While groups representing small constituencies have incentives to seek inefficient redistributions of income while imposing costs on wider society, cohesive groups representing large cross-issue constituencies – encompassing groups – have incentives to accept costs in return for the provision of public goods. States whose domestic political institutions are encompassing – inclusive of large numbers of diverse interests and centralized to provide coordination across issue-areas – have similar incentives to accept costs on constituents in order to support the provision of public goods for their constituents as a whole – such as welfare gains from trade or avoiding damage to reliable international markets – even without the application of external sanctions.

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The Problem of International Public Goods When states commit to a set of international rules in relation to policies which reduce the cost of cross-border transactions, goods, services, people and capital move across borders with only limited obstruction by diverse national rules, producing significant joint welfare gains1. However, states represent territorially bounded constituencies with diverse interests, and given the anarchy of international relations, collective action problems of free-riding and ex post opportunism associated with states’ (at best) selective compliance with prior commitments tend to restrict the provision of open international markets to suboptimal levels (eg. Broz 1997). States may attempt to organize the international market to prevent such opportunism, but each state has incentives to avoid accepting costs to support the organization of the international market. This is the application to international relations of the finding that public goods are sub-optimally provided by the voluntary action of rational, egoist individuals (Olson 1965).

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For comments and advice on this paper, I would like to particularly thank Ben Ansell, Brett

Benson, William Clark, Mark Copelovitch, Peter Hall, Michael Hiscox, Ulrich Krotz, Lisa Martin, Andrew Moravcsik, Beth Simmons, David Singer, David Soskice, Holger Spamann, Cornelia Woll, and Daniel Ziblatt. Earlier versions of this paper were presented at the Midwest Political Science Association 2007 annual meeting in Chicago, IL, the New England Political Science Association 2007 annual meeting in Newton, MA, the American Political Science Association 2007 annual meeting in Chicago, at the International Relations Colloquium of the UW-Madison Political Science Department and at the Council for European Studies 2008 conference in Chicago. Many thanks to all participants for their helpful comments. The author gratefully acknowledges the support of a Small Research Project Grant from the Irish Research Council for the Humanities and Social Sciences for this research.

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The international political economy literature offers two well-developed solutions to the provision of the international public good of organizing open international markets. The first is hegemony, where a dominant power with sufficient interest in international integration unilaterally provides the international public good or creates and stands behind international rules which coordinate state behavior so as to produce the international public good (Olson and Zeckhauser 1966; Kindleberger 1973; Keohane 1980). The second widely accepted solution to the provision of the international public goods of organizing open international markets is specific reciprocity. International public goods can be provided where international institutions reduce information and enforcement costs for international regimes by facilitating the imposition of decentralized welfare sanctions – exclusion in one form or another – in response to free-riding or ex post defection from regime obligations. Under these circumstances, even rational, egoist states can sustain co-operative equilibria in the absence of a hegemon’s stabilizing role (Axelrod 1984; Keohane 1984). This paper provides a third collective action theory-based explanation for the provision of open international markets. While the common application of the Prisoner’s Dilemma to trade politics correctly captures both gains from trade and political costs of trade induced adjustment, and allows the one to restrain the other, it is not trade as an issue-area which makes the politics of trade an Prisoner’s Dilemma, but the relative privileging of import-competing and exportorientated interests in authoritative domestic decision-making arrangements, a bias which varies across states. States’ political institutions could equally well reject any lowering of trade barriers even if contingent export opportunities were foregone, or support unilateral trade openness regardless of contingent export opportunities. Therefore, while existing explanations for the provision of open international markets tend to rely on the practice of exclusion of free-riders from trading opportunities, exclusion may not be necessary to maintain an open international market where states possess forms of domestic

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political organization which permit them to accept costs on particular constituents in return for public goods. In collective action theory, the concept of the ‘encompassing group’, inclusive of large numbers of diverse interests and centralized to provide coordination across issue-areas, provides an explanation of such behavior. Even under restrictive assumptions and conditions – rational, egoist states, co-existing in international anarchy, whose constituents include a range of rational, egoist interest groups, facing a stream of costly adjustments from changes in relative prices, without any independent causal significance attributed to dispute resolution mechanisms beyond the provision of information, without a hegemon (or any size inequalities among the participating units) or any tit-for-tat sanctioning – a reliably open international market can be maintained between states with encompassing domestic political institutions. This explanation for the effectiveness of open international markets has rather surprising results for the effectiveness of international treaty regimes. This paper proceeds as follows. The first section outlines the collective action problems of open international markets, focusing on the demand that concentrated economic interests make on governments to free-ride on open international markets by making unilateral and selective protectionist rules. The second section outlines the two prevailing explanations for the provision of international public goods, hegemonic stability and tit-for-tat specific reciprocity. The third section outlines a new explanation, consistent with collective action theory, for the provision of open international markets without the practice of exclusion, as a substitute for, or in combination with, existing explanations. The fourth section concludes with a brief discussion of directions for further research. Excludable Goods, Public Goods, and Concentrated Economic Interests Public or collective goods can be consumed without contributing to their production. Therefore, rational, egoist individuals have incentives not to voluntarily contribute to the production of public goods, which tend to be underprovided.

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Of course, the problem that rational egoist individuals will not voluntarily contribute to the provision of public goods can be addressed by making contributions involuntary. Within a state, therefore, the routine solution to public goods problems is to use the coercion available to the Weberian state to require contributions in various forms, not least compulsory taxation. In international relations, many issues can be characterized as public goods, which can be consumed without contributing to their production. International public goods include collective security arrangements, the organization of open international markets, and the international environment. In all these cases, rational, egoist states have incentives not to contribute to the production of international public goods, which tend therefore to be underprovided. Unlike politics within states, there is no means of making state contributions to the provision of international public goods involuntary in the way that states can make contributions to the provision of public goods by their inhabitants or subordinate jurisdictions compulsory. International relations is therefore politics in the absence of the most effective means of technology for the provision of public goods. It is not surprising therefore that international politics has been regularly characterized by persistent violence, by limits on international markets, and by the under-regulation of international environmental and other externalities. There are many different varieties of international public goods, and the incentive structures associated with different public goods may vary. While the concepts developed here may be useful in relation to other international regime types, this paper will focus on the provision of open international markets. Although much discussion of the politics of open international markets takes place using the vocabulary of collective action problems, open international markets do not themselves constitute a public good. Public goods are defined as non-rival and non-excludable goods, which is to say that consumption by one individual does not reduce the consumption by other individuals and that, once the good is produced, no individual

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can be excluded from benefiting from it. A lighthouse is the classic example of a good which is non-rival and non-excludable. In the case of open international markets, exclusion is possible. As Conybeare explains, “the benefits of free trade are largely excludable. Countries may, individually and collectively, penalize a country that attempts to impose a nationally advantageous tariff at the expense of the international community. Major trading powers, like the US, Japan, and the EEC, are quite capable of retaliating in such a way as to make the benefits of predatory trade practices an excludable good.” (Conybeare 1984: 8) The fact that free trade does not constitute a public good does not, however, mean that there are no international collective action problems associated with free trade. The organization of exclusion is itself a public good prone to collective action problems: states must organize and bear the costs of exclusion (Conybeare 1984; Gowa 1989). Even though trading opportunities are excludable, therefore, the organization of exclusion to maintain an open international market may still require the production of an international public good.2 Exclusion is necessary because of the internal incentives that concentrated economic interests provide state decision-makers. According to Ricardian theories of comparative advantage, unilateral free trade is the policy which allows states to maximize their aggregate consumption. On that basis, states should have no incentives to free-ride on open international markets and international markets would not need to organized by exclusion. However, trade openness has distributional implications, where firms and sectors facing import competition face

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Although it is common in the political economy literature to consider trade as an excludable

good, an alternative conceptualisation would accept that there are public good aspects to trade, such as technological innovation, but that trade sanctions can be used as selective incentives for non-contributions to the political costs of trade openness.

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a stream of adjustment costs – bankruptcy, unemployment, or starvation, as the case may be – associated with the changes in relative prices produced by open international markets. Given the advantages that concentrated groups possess in collective action, rational and egoist concentrated economic interests pressure political decision-makers to adopt rules which reduce import competition (Schattschneider 1935; Olson 1965). Since political decision-makers across countries face similar incentives from concentrated economic interests, international markets are frequently limited and fragile. Thus it is internal political economy incentives that make the organization of open international markets an international public goods problem.3 To summarize, concentrated economic interests adversely affected by changes in relative prices in international markets provide state decision-makers with incentives to unilaterally apply selective protectionist rules in their jurisdictions. As a result, rational, egoist states tend to undercontribute to the provision of open international markets, which in turn tend not to be reliably sustained. Because trading opportunities are an excludable good, however, states which under3

The assumption made here is that the political problem of trade is primarily one associated with

the demands that concentrated economic interests make for protectionist policies within a state whose constituents comprise a diverse group of economic interests (On the relationship of encompassing group incentives and diversity of group membership, see Jankowski 1988). This discussion does not consider the incentives that ‘large’ countries have to maximise consumption through an ‘optimal tariff’ (Conybeare 1984; Gowa 1989). It also does not address the maintenance of open international markets in circumstances where domestic trade politics is driven by conflict between broad classes rather than between diverse import-competing and export-orientated industries (eg. Hiscox 2002), or circumstances where it could be claimed that national constituents as a whole might benefit from trade protection, for example in the protection of ‘infant industries’ or in organising an export monopoly where a state’s firms are the sole international suppliers of a particular commodity.

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contribute can be excluded – or threatened with exclusion – from open international markets. However, the organizing the exclusion of under-contributing states from open international markets is itself a public good from the perspective of any individual state. Current Solutions to Collective Action Problems of Open International Markets If rational, egoist organized interests provide states with incentives to unilaterally make protectionist rules which undermine the provision of open international markets, how are open international markets ever produced or maintained? One possibility is for states to make agreements – treaties – to address international collective action problems. However, treaties do not by themselves solve international public goods problems. Concentrated economic interests have incentives to avoid adjustment costs by pressuring decision-makers to unilaterally and selectively introduce protectionist rules whether the state has entered into an international trade treaty or not. For that reason, international trade agreements frequently have only limited effectiveness. Indeed international relations scholarship provides many examples of states offer only limited and contingent adherence to their international legal obligations. Rather states comply selectively, at best, with international treaty obligations, invading other countries contrary to the use of force regimes of the League of Nations or United Nations, failing to support allies in war, and unilaterally imposing protectionist rules contrary to the open international market regimes of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) or the World Trade Organization (WTO), even at times while remaining member states of such multilateral arrangements (See Weiler 1985 on selective exit from international obligations). The repeated evidence of the limited obedience of states to international treaty obligations has provided considerable support for international relations scholars skeptical about the impact of treaties on state behavior: in Morgenthau’s famous expression, “From that iron law of international politics, that legal obligations must yield to the national interest, no nation has ever yet been completely immune” (Morgenthau 1951: 144). However, states do at times fulfill

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international treaty obligations – even demanding obligations that impose considerable costs on organized interests or increase the risk of war (For a recent exchange on the constraining power of treaties, see von Stein 2005; Simmons and Hopkins 2005). Explanations for the effectiveness of international treaty obligations in rationalist approaches to international relations therefore tend to focus on whether non-legal causal mechanisms provide incentives for egoists to comply with costly treaty commitments. That is the approach which will be adopted here: no explanatory power – such as the fostering of ‘logics of appropriateness’, the legitimacy of international law, or the ‘force of legal formalism’ – in the solution of international collective action problems will be attributed to international treaty arrangements or international dispute settlement mechanisms beyond the provision of information about state behavior (eg. March and Olsen 1989; Franck 1990; Burley [Slaughter] and Mattli 1993). While international treaties by themselves are insufficient to explain the provision of international public goods, the current literature on collective action and international relations does however provide two generalisable causal mechanisms for the provision and maintenance of international public goods: hegemonic stability and specific reciprocity. Although these are wellknown, their essential features are summarized here, without attempting to do full justice to such well-developed scholarly literatures, before an alternative mechanism is similarly outlined. Hegemonic Stability The first widely-accepted solution to international public goods problems is hegemonic stability, where a single powerful state benefits sufficiently from the provision of international public goods that it is willing to unilaterally pay the costs of their provision. In public goods theory, an international system with a hegemon is a ‘privileged group’ – a group such that one of its members has an incentive to see that the public good is provided even if that member has to bear the full burden of providing it themselves (Olson 1965: 50). Inequality therefore promotes the provision of public goods. There are many examples of this logic

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underlying public goods provision outside international relations. The dominant shipping company in a stretch of coastal waters, for example, may have incentives to pay for a lighthouse even if other ships free-ride, while the owner of a luxury mansion may pay for security patrols from which local residents benefit without contributing (Mandelbaum 2005: 8-9). Hegemony is the widely accepted explanation for the growth of trade and financial integration in the era of the pre-1914 ‘Pax Britannica’ and the immediate post-1945 USsponsored trade regime: in Kindleberger’s words: “For the world economy to be stabilized, there has to be a stabilizer, one stabilizer …”. (Kindleberger 1973: 305).4 Within a hegemonic system, if non-hegemonic states respond to the pressure from concentrated economic interests to unilaterally and selectively adopt protectionist measures, the hegemon may unilaterally maintain an open market despite the free-riding of other states (broadly the pre-1914 British model) or, alternatively, unilaterally manage the exclusion of free-riding states from enjoying trading benefits in the interest of supporting open international markets (broadly the more active management model adopted by the United States post 1945) (Lake 1991). The hegemonic stability/’privileged group’ concept is a widely accepted explanation for the provision of international public goods and has been applied to a very wide range of issue-

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It has been pointed out by Snidal and others, building on prior work by Schelling, that the

‘privileged group’ could benefit from the provision of public goods by not only by one unilateral provider but by two or more actors (the so-called ‘k’ group) who similarly sufficiently profit from the provision of the public good even if they alone absorb the costs (Schelling 1978; Snidal 1985). Gowa notes that the ‘k group’, unlike a single hegemon, would suffer from coordination problems of their own (Gowa 1989).

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areas, including military alliances and other security problems (eg. Olson and Zeckhauser 1966; Mandelbaum 2005). Specific Reciprocity The second widely-accepted solution to the international public goods problem is specific reciprocity, where even states of more or less equal size can maintain open international markets by mutually withdrawing trading opportunities to sanction unilateral protectionism. The basic theory underlying specific reciprocity arrangements was advanced by Axelrod, who demonstrated that decentralized tit-for-tat specific reciprocity can maintain adherence to costly commitments in a world of egoists without central authority (Axelrod 1984). Modeling cooperation as a repeat play Prisoners’ Dilemma, where players have preferences for defection regardless of the strategy chosen by the other players, but where mutual defection produces Pareto-inferior outcomes, Axelrod showed that, given players than sufficiently value the future, tit-for-tat policies, where strategies of cooperation are adopted contingent on the behavior of other parties, can prevent defection from cooperative outcomes. There are many examples of tit-for-tat reciprocity solutions to collective action problems outside the area of open international markets: most famously, tit-for-tat reciprocity has been used to explain the ‘live-and-let-live’ mutual restraint among British and German soldiers in the World War One trenches (Axelrod 1984: 73-87), and of course tit-for-tat arrangements are common in many aspects of wider social life, such as dinner party invitations. This explanation for the provision of international public goods – explicitly as an alternative to hegemonic stability – was initially advanced by Keohane, building directly from Axelrod. The argument runs as follows: states facing incentives for unilateral selective defection will nonetheless cooperate, given that domestic political incentives broadly approximate the model of the Prisoner’s Dilemma, if international institutions (courts, bureaucracies, etc) provide

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sufficient information about state behavior, and states make other states’ welfare dependent on their continued compliance with agreements and understandings (Keohane 1984: 78-79, also 244; See also Axelrod and Keohane 1985). The costs created by unilateral ‘defection’ arise from a variety of forms of exclusion. Defecting states may suffer reputation costs which may reduce the willingness of other states to enter into subsequent agreements in the future, and other states may also retaliate by changing existing policies. Within the WTO regime, most prominently, free-riding on the commitments to open international markets is punished by trade sanctions by other WTO member states5. The benefits derived from contingent reciprocity may encourage powerful domestic interests to mobilize to support open markets (Gilligan 1997). This decentralized, specific reciprocity sanctioning is a vital aspect of the WTO’s multilateral trading regime. Specific reciprocity creates direct incentives to avoid free-riding, unlike diffuse reciprocity where provision of benefits is not made contingent on the particular behaviors of other states. Diffuse reciprocity is not usually effective at preventing defection when concentrated economic interests provide incentives to defect, because it sacrifices the possibility of exclusion.

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In the words of Article 22.4 of the WTO’s Dispute Settlement Understanding: “The level of

suspension of concessions or other obligations [=retaliatory trade sanctions] authorised by the DSB [Dispute Settlement Body] shall be equivalent to the level of the nullification or impairment [=the level of violation of WTO obligations]”. The WTO’s DSU is available at http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/28-dsu.pdf. Note that in practice, the WTO specific reciprocity trading system works only on an approximate relationship between trading opportunities foregone through ‘defection’ and WTO-authorised ‘exclusion-to-punish-defection’ (Spamann 2006).

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Martin is particularly clear on this point and is worth citing at length: “In collaboration problems [i.e. a Prisoners’ Dilemma game], multilateral norms may complicate attempts to cooperate. The norms of diffuse reciprocity and indivisibility, in particular, are not conducive to the solution of collaboration problems. Theoretical and experimental studies of repeated prisoners’ dilemmas show the value of strategies of specific reciprocity, such as tit-fortat and trigger strategies, for maintaining cooperation. Diffuse reciprocity, with its lack of direct retaliation for defections, is unlikely to maintain cooperation in demanding collaboration problems effectively, although it may be efficient in less demanding situations… The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), for example, provides for direct retaliation for unfair trading practices, a clear example of specific reciprocity at the enforcement stage. … Similarly, the multilateral norm of indivisibility, taken in its strictest sense, is antithetical to the solution of collaboration dilemmas. Indivisibility, when combined with diffuse reciprocity, implies non-exclusion and creates publicness. If all threats and decisions apply equally to all members of the regime, and all members must be treated equally, the regime will create public goods where private goods existed previously. … Regime members, under a strict interpretation of such norms, could not be excluded from benefits created by the regime without compromising the indivisibility and diffuse reciprocity principles. Thus multilateralism creates huge incentives to free-ride. One way around the dilemma of public goods would involve sacrificing some indivisibility and diffuse reciprocity, making regime benefits excludable.” (Martin 1992: 771772). Within a specific reciprocity system, if states respond to the pressure from concentrated economic interests to unilaterally and selectively adopt protectionist measures, trading partners may exclude that free-riding state from enjoying the benefits of open world markets. The practice of exclusion through specific reciprocity is, as Martin states, the basic mechanism underlying the GATT, now WTO, trading system, and acts as a real constraint on incentives for states to unilaterally adopt protectionist measures. Indeed, the WTO system operates according to two different forms of specific reciprocity. First, the obligations entered into by states ex ante are obligations directly assumed on a reciprocal basis by WTO members and owed only to other WTO members. Second, the obligations are enforced, as Martin describes, by specific reciprocity in the form of ex post exclusion of unilaterally protectionist states from trading opportunities. These forms of specific reciprocity are related, but distinct. The effectiveness of the practice of tit-for-tat exclusion to maintain open international markets does however contain its own cost: the certainty of all firms in the international market is

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damaged by decentralized sanctions, since exporting firms – selected by other states – may be targeted for retaliation in response to the national adoption of protectionist rules as a result of the political influence of import-competing firms. The risk of trade sanctions will serve to limit investment in production for foreign markets. The ‘Axelrod-Keohane’ explanation for cooperation under anarchy is widely accepted in the international relations scholarship. Tit-for-tat specific reciprocity is arguably the dominant explanation in contemporary rationalist international relations scholarship for why states have incentives to refrain from making unilateral protectionist rules to prevent adjustment costs falling on concentrated economic interests. Open International Markets without Exclusion: Encompassing Domestic Institutions The current literature recognizes these two generalisable and portable rationalist explanations for the provision of international public goods (eg. Hasenclever, Mayer et al. 1997; Keohane 1984). Although there is, to be sure, a third broad approach to international regime theory and the solution of international public goods problems, which relies on a variety of constructivist or ‘knowledge-based’ mechanisms such as identity, legitimacy, and the ‘logics of appropriateness’ (eg. Hasenclever, Mayer et al. 1997: 136-210), it is impossible to overstate the influence of these two rationalist mechanisms for international cooperation and the provision of international public goods. On the one hand, there is a large literature directly discussing the theoretical advantages and limits of these approaches. On the other hand, and even more importantly, scholarly output on a wide variety of particular questions and topics in contemporary international political research employs and tests causal mechanisms derived one way or another from the Olson-Zeckhauser-Kindleberger-Keohane hegemonic stability/‘privileged group’ concept or from the Axelrod-Keohane ‘tit-for-tat’/specific reciprocity concept (A full list of recent IR articles employing either or both of these concepts would be extensive. A few examples include Mitchell and Hensel 2007; Jones 2007; Pekkanen, Solís et al. 2007; Lake 2007). The

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dominance of these two approaches is also apparent in theoretical treatments of collective action theory outside international relations (eg. Sandler 1992). These explanations, primarily based on exclusion, have attracted scholarly support for at least three related reasons. First, they constitute positivist and rationalist explanations. Second, they benefit from ‘intellectual arbitrage’ with wider collective action and public goods theories, and thus find support and stimulation from the wider social sciences and from examples of social organization outside international relations (Lake 1993). Third, they are explanations for important phenomena in international relations, such as the relative openness of the global economy and a variety of prominent international regimes. Arrangements for the ‘suspension of benefits’ in retaliation and the operation of mechanisms of exclusion through decentralized sanctions and countermeasures in both regional and global trade organizations are also pervasive in practice (eg. the mixture of WTO and NAFTA disputes discussed in Pauwelyn 2006). Analysts making proposals to reorganize the institutional rules of international trade regimes to avoid the practice of tit-for-tat exclusion encounter considerable difficulties (eg. Lawrence 2003). This paper puts forward an alternative collective action theory-based explanation for reliable open international markets without relaxing the assumptions or constraints adopted by collective action theory approaches to trade politics: rational, egoist states, co-existing in international anarchy, whose constituents include a range of rational, egoist interest groups, facing a stream of costly adjustments from changes in relative prices, without any independent causal significance attributed to dispute resolution mechanisms beyond the provision of information about state behavior. One common feature of the current pair of explanations is that their solution to the possibility of states free-riding on open international markets is indirect. Each assumes that the demand for protectionism through unilateral national rule-making will be intermittently

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successful within states, or, put another way, states will intermittently sacrifice public goods such as economic efficiency or state reputation in order to provide private gains to concentrated economic interests. Given this situation, open markets are therefore maintained by the behavior of other states, particularly through the incentives associated with the active practice of excluding free-riders from the benefits of international markets. In these arrangements, participating states (other than a hegemon unilaterally providing open-markets in the manner of the United Kingdom pre-1914) do not reliably internalize the value of open international markets. However, it is also possible to provide an explanation for the provision of open international markets which relies instead on the direct restraint of adversely affected concentrated economic interests by the decision-makers within their own states. Such an approach would emphasize characteristics of the internal political organization of the states in question. Organizations vary to the degree in which they are responsive to demands for social groups (such as concentrated economic interests) to shift costs onto other groups and wider civil society. A key variable in understanding incentives for the pursuit of redistributive cost-shifting, as opposed to the pursuit of collective goods such as economic efficiency, is constituency size. Narrow interest groups have incentives to pursue inefficient redistribution regardless of the costs imposed on others and similarly little or no incentive to make costly sacrifices for the public goods or the interest of the society as a whole, such as overall efficiency (Olson 1982: 42-44). This, of course, is why import-competing groups are willing to accept damage to the operation of open international markets in order to achieve their policy preferences. States have domestic

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incentives, particularly derived from concentrated economic interests, to accept exclusion from trading opportunities in order to ‘pay for’ selective unilateral protectionism.”6 This shows the limitations of the practice of exclusion to influence trading behavior where state behavior is influenced by well-organized small groups. The issue-specific small group has no incentive to internalize the costs on other economic groups, whether the costs are incurred through the withdrawal of existing trading opportunities or through reputation costs inhibiting future reciprocal deals. Where concentrated economic interests are politically powerful and opposed to free trade as it affects their constituents, state policy will not be affected by trade sanctions or reputation costs. The common application of Prisoner’s Dilemma models to the politics of trade is therefore only a broad approximation, accurate only in certain circumstances. The model correctly captures incentives for protection and the possibilities of political deals for mutual reduction in tariff barriers. In so doing, it represents the politics of trade within the trading states at what might be called a ‘common sense’ level of aggregation, where making export

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An example: Richard Morningstar, former ambassador of the United States to the European

Union (1999-2001), described one such example in a WTO dispute, involving litigation under the WTO dispute settlement arrangements, between the US and EU concerning an EU ban on the sale of hormone-treated beef which US firms wished to export to the EU: “The US won the case. The EU basically said, ‘Well, we can’t comply’. … The US was awarded $120m in sanctions. And what the EU do? They said, ‘Well, okay, we’ll live with the sanctions,’ because they make the political decision that they couldn’t take the risk, the political risk, of complying with the decision.” Ambassador Morningstar’s talk at Harvard University in December 2005 is available at http://athome.harvard.edu/programs/irw/irw_video/irw3_3.html (See Devereaux, Lawrence et al. 2006: 31-96 for an account of the beef hormone trade dispute).

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opportunities contingent on import-openness is sufficient to ensure mutual tariff reduction. But the decision-making within states varies in its degree of aggregation of winners and losers from trade policy according to its political system. It is not the issue-area of international cooperation – trade and its adjustment costs – which makes trade politics a Prisoner’s Dilemma, but the relative privileging of import-competing and export-orientated interests in authoritative national decisionmaking arrangements. The application of the Prisoner’s Dilemma to trade politics assumes that states have already achieved, internally, a certain degree of management of the internal politics of trade, sufficient that export opportunities make lowering barriers to imports politically possible. This may be an important and common scenario, but there are many others. States’ preferences could equally well reject any lowering of trade barriers even if contingent export opportunities were lost, or support unilateral trade openness regardless of export opportunities. The tit-for-tat exclusion-based ex post compliance mechanisms in trading regimes such as the WTO accommodate the common situation that small groups are politically powerful in many states and will demand defection from specific reciprocity trade regimes when these impose severe adjustment costs, regardless of the costs imposed on other parts of civil society. Of course, where international trade treaties are made through unanimous agreement, states have incentives to agree terms compatible with the balance of internal political influences. But as economic and political circumstances change, concentrated economic groups facing adjustment costs may have the political power to successfully demand selective unilateral protectionist rule-making, thus triggering the exclusionary mechanisms of their trading partners. Not all organized groups, however, face the same incentives. Cohesive groups representing large constituencies – ‘encompassing groups’ – receive a substantial share of the gains from collective benefits such as overall economic growth, and suffer a substantial share of the costs of policies that contribute to overall inefficiencies.

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“The incentives facing an encompassing special-interest organization are dramatically different from those facing an organization that represents only a narrow segment of society. If an organization represents, say, a third of the income-producing capacity of a country, its members will, on average, obtain about a third of the benefit from any effort to make the society more productive. The organization will therefore have an incentive to make sacrifices up to a point for policies and activities that are sufficiently rewarding for the society as a whole. … Moreover, the organization whose clients own a third of the income-earning potential of the society will, on average, bear about a third of any loss in the society’s output that results from the policies it obtains. …” (Olson 1982: 48) Note that the encompassing group is not just inclusive of a large constituency, but also possesses centralized control over its constituents. Olson distinguishes between peak associations of firms and unions in the United States, which have only at most a modest ability to control their constituent firms and unions, and encompassing peak associations of unions and firms in Nordic countries, which have much greater control over their constituent members, through, for example, the centralization of strike and lock-out funds.7 The logic which Olson applies to encompassing interest groups provides an explanation for the decentralized provision of public goods. Cohesive large constituency organizations have powerful incentives to accept costs on their constituents in order to provide public goods to their members such as overall economic efficiency, even without external sanctions. The application of the ‘encompassing group’ concept to the maintenance of open international markets builds on several scholarly literatures. There is of course a considerable 7

Olson’s subsequent scholarship took the concept of the encompassing group in several different

directions, including discussions of the relative encompassingness of dictatorial rulers, political parties, and interest groups, with continuing ambiguity, for interest groups even more than for political parties, on the question of whether encompassing groups could resist being captured by small groups of their overall membership or could exert sufficient control over individual constituents (eg. Olson 1986a; Olson 1986b; Olson 1990; Olson 2000; for discussion of the application of encompassing group incentives to political parties, interest groups, and enterprise groups, see Jankowski 1988; Jankowski 1989).

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literature connecting international economic policies to domestic political institutions (eg. Ruggie 1982; Katzenstein 1985; Alt and Gilligan 1994; Milner and Kubota 2005). There is a particularly relevant literature claiming that delegation of trade policy decision-making and agenda-rights from the small-constituency orientated US Congress to the large-constituency orientated – with incentives to internalize more externalities – President, ‘dramatically increased the political durability of low tariffs’ (Bailey, Goldstein et al. 1997: 310; Similarly, Destler 1986; Haggard 1988; Lohmann and O'Halloran 1994; Schnietz 2003; cf. Olson 1982: 51-52 on incentives by constituency size in US politics; in a non-US context, Rogowski 1987). In a similar way, the democratic peace literature has emphasized that variation in politically influential constituencysize can explain differences in the propensity for war, including, more recently, how variation in the size of the political selectorate provides incentives for decision-makers to provide different mixes of public and private goods (Eg. Kant 2003 [1795]; Doyle 1986; Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow et al. 1999). At the most abstract level, the ‘liberal’ or ‘state-society’ approach to international relations emphasizes that domestic state and social organization determines the scope of international collective action problems (Moravcsik 1997). This paper builds on these approaches to understanding political institutions, constituency-size, trade policy, and international relations more generally to argue that cohesive and large constituency forms of internal political organization within states support the provision of open international markets as a substitute for or complement to the mechanisms advocated in the existing literature, hegemony or specific reciprocity. While important elements of the current international relations literature – particularly the literature on the democratic peace – focus on how differences in constituency-size affect international politics, the most important literature on the explanatory power of encompassing institutions relates to the political organization of labor (Olson 1982: 90-91). A very robust scholarly literature advances explanations for variation in unemployment, inflation, strike

21

activity, and other economic indicators as resulting from variation in the inclusiveness and centralization of decision-making in organized labor, particularly in advanced industrialized countries. The encompassing group concept provided microfoundations for the study of corporatist organizations. As Garrett and Lange describe the argument: “… when trade unions are encompassing (when, for example, rates of unionization are high and a central confederation bargains effectively for most union members), they can be expected to selfregulate their behavior in order to promote the collective good. By being less militant in their wage demands, more cooperative in the workplace and in industrial relations, and more sensitive to the conditions for growth in their political demands, the unions would contribute to greater profits, a more favorable investment environment, and higher rates of economic growth. This labor self-regulation would, in turn, lead to better outcomes for union members in the medium run than they would attain from greater militancy. In this case, then, group processes would be less inconsistent with the attainment of collective economic goods than where groups were more fragmented” (Garrett and Lange 1985: 795). The degree to which the organization of labor is encompassing is accepted by many scholars as a significant independent variable in explanations of important economic outcomes, because encompassing organizations have incentives for self-restraint which smaller constituencies – such as firm-level unions – lack. To be sure, there is scholarly disagreement about the conditions in which variation in the organization of labor can influence the political economy. Some scholars argue that encompassing forms of labor organization are sufficient by themselves to provide these collective benefits (Schmitter 1981; Schmidt 1982; Whiteley 1983; Cameron 1984). Others, however, emphasize that encompassing institutions have a significant impact only in an environment of certain negotiating partners or political institutions, such as leftwing political parties or independent central banks (Garrett and Lange 1985; Iversen 1999). There is also considerable disagreement as to whether increases in the constituency size of labor unions are associated with a monotonic increase in incentives to provide public goods, or whether the relationship is ‘hump-backed’ where increases in constituency-size and level of centralization lead initially to increases in the incentives for union members to obtain private goods and only at

22

high levels of constituency-size and centralization do incentives for the provision of public goods apply (Calmfors and Driffill 1988; Driffill 2006).8 The scholarly literature on how the size and cohesiveness of labor organization affects economic outcomes cannot be adequately summarized in a few brief paragraphs here – which only mention a few prominent pieces of that literature. The important point for the purposes of this paper is that, however refined or combined with other variables, and however much disagreement there is over the characterization of the level of inclusiveness and centralization of labor in particular countries (the degree to which unions – and states – have encompassing decision-making institutions is of course a continuous, not a dichotomous, variable), the degree to which labor organization is encompassing is widely accepted as an important – indeed essential – explanatory variable in comparative political economy, because of the incentives encompassing organization provides for labor self-restraint in the interests of public goods. The explanatory power of ‘encompassingness’ in labor market politics indicates that real-world variation in this variable can have profound political results. The microfoundational logic of labor market public goods and encompassing groups developed in the literature on labor organization can be applied equally to open international markets and states with encompassing forms of political representation. The ‘conditions for union wage constraint’ also describe ‘conditions for state restraint of protectionist interests’ or ‘conditions for state restraint of interests with incentives to violate regime obligations’ (cf. Crouch 1985). Like federations of labor unions, states are forms of political organization which vary in the degree to which affected constituencies are included in authoritative political decision8

Although the genesis and emphasis of this scholarship remains focused on the political

organisation of labour, scholarship on the politics of welfare states has emphasised that variation in the interests, inclusiveness, and centralisation of employers’ and business associations can have a similarly important impact on labour market outcomes (eg. Swenson 2002; Mares 2003).

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making institutions and in the effective centralization of their decision-making authority. Where states’ internal political authorities with power over trade policy-making are characterized by cohesive, large constituency forms of political institutions – encompassing domestic political institutions – they would similarly have both the capacity and incentives to impose costs on their constituents to support the provision of public goods for their constituents. There are at least two ways in which states with encompassing forms of political institutions would be able to support open international markets. The first involves the unilateral adoption by a state of trade openness even in the absence of any threat of exclusion from foreign markets. In this scenario, encompassing domestic institutions are a substitute for the mechanisms of exclusion associated with specific reciprocity and hegemonic stability mechanisms. The second involves open international markets backed by a mechanism of exclusion, but where states internal political structure provides incentives to accept costs on particular concentrated economic interests to avoid the collective costs to all firms involved in open international markets associated with the practice of punishing defection by exclusion from trading opportunities. In this second scenario, encompassing domestic institutions are a partly a substitute and partly a complement to existing mechanisms for organizing open international markets based on exclusion. Ricardian theories of comparative advantage argue that states maximize their income by adopting unilateral free trade. However, trade imposes adjustment costs on import-competing groups, each of which have incentives to seek protection for their own sector while imposing costs on wider society. An encompassing political institution however would have incentives to accept these costs on import competing groups in the interest of collective welfare. Among states with encompassing forms of domestic political institutions, there is no international public goods problem associated with open international markets. Exclusion from trading opportunities is required to maintain open international markets only where state decision-makers are under the

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influence of import-competing groups. If this problem is solved internally, then there is no need for exclusion, and no need for the international public good of organizing exclusion, to maintain the open international market. Solving the domestic collective action problem makes the international collective action problem disappear. Under these circumstances, encompassing domestic institutions would be a complete substitute for specific reciprocity or hegemonic stability mechanisms. Internal cohesion would act as a substitute for the application of external incentives. In this unilateral scenario, the collective good received by the broad constituency is maximization of consumption though free trade. This unilateral provision of a collective good is theoretically compelling and mirrors the arguments of some theorists of corporatism that encompassing labor union federations reliably provide collective goods without the need for cooperative arrangements with bargaining partners. While it must be admitted that the collective good of overall welfare-maximization is often not a very binding constraint on political action, given that many policies are adopted by all governments which are difficult to reconcile with this objective, on the other hand, widely-accepted theories of comparative advantage provide compelling reasons for the adoption of particular trade policies to maximize consumption, whereas there may be less consensus on policies to maximize consumption in other policy areas. Nevertheless, it can be argued that states with more encompassing internal political institutions may adopt more liberal unilateral trade policies, holding other factors constant. This outcome should hold without any practice or threat of exclusion from open international markets, even if the organization of exclusion is, for some reason, impossible. The alternative approach combines the encompassing domestic institution with other mechanisms for organizing open international markets, which is to say the possibility of exclusion by a hegemon or through specific reciprocity. In the unilateral scenario, the collective good obtained by unilateral trade liberalization is consumption-maximization, which adoption of

25

restrictions on trade would damage. In the second scenario, the collective good obtained by accepting costs on concentrated economic interests by maintaining open markets is not only consumption-maximization but also the collective good of avoiding the damage to trading opportunities enjoyed by the wider group of constituents associated with the practice of exclusion from foreign markets by reputation costs or by trade sanctions applied in retaliation by other states. The costs of protectionism are therefore not only a diffuse cost to economic efficiency, but also a more tangible cost on firms and individuals benefiting from the open international market, both a concentrated economic cost on firms whose trading opportunities are in fact curtailed, and a significant wider cost on other firms whose trading opportunities are put at risk of exclusion. Here the encompassing domestic institution is a complement, rather than a substitute, for mechanisms for organizing open international markets through exclusion. Where the possibility of exclusion exists, the collective interest to firms and consumers to avoid the damage to open international markets created by the actual practice of exclusionary mechanisms provides incentives for encompassing domestic institutions to accept costs on small groups to provide this collective good to their constituents. This is a more robust form of organization of open international markets through encompassing domestic institutions than the unilateral adoption of welfare maximizing policies associated with Ricardian comparative advantage. The operation of open international markets is still related to the possibility of exclusion, but the point at which exclusion might be organized serves as a firm constraint on state action since it threatens to impose costs on any of a number of organized interests who participate in coordinated national decision-making. This constraint would explain why a state might avoid policies that would incite the operation of mechanisms of exclusion in international trade while still adopting inefficient policies in other issue-areas where such an external constraint does not operate. Unlike the unilateral scenario, the potential availability of a mechanism of exclusion is required. Nevertheless the distinctive feature of this

26

argument is that open international markets can be organized in this way without any actual practice of exclusion, by substituting for ex post mechanisms of exclusion. The ex ante contracting with the possibility of exclusion – which creates reliable expectations about retaliation – combines with incentives derived from the encompassing forms of internal political organization to remove the need for the operation of ex post specific reciprocity. To make the consequences of variation in the encompassingness of internal political institutions on trade politics more apparent, it may help to compare the hypothetical, and perhaps artificially dichotomous, examples of zero-tariff open international markets organized on a specific reciprocity basis between states, in one instance where small constituencies intermittently possess the political influence to create unilateral protectionist rules regardless of costs imposed on collective goods, with the alternative scenario comprised of a similar market composed of states whose internal political institutions can be characterized as encompassing. Assume in both cases that the market produces a stream of changes in relative prices which impose severe adjustment costs on concentrated economic interests. In both cases, there are powerful incentives – avoiding trade sanctions and reputation costs – to maintain an open international market. In the former scenario, however, demands for defection from politically influential small groups result in a stream of restrictions in trade opportunities, both protectionist and retaliatory, in the manner of the WTO regime. In the latter, even if the costs on concentrated economic interests are the same, states with encompassing domestic institutions would have incentives to prioritize the maintenance of the open international market and accept costs on constituents for that purpose, producing – even in the absence of a hegemon or any tit-for-tat sanctioning – reliable trading opportunities that, despite the anarchy of international relations, would bear a considerable resemblance to the market prevailing across jurisdictions within a federal state. This is a theoretically sound explanation for an international trading regime without the practice of tit-for-tat ex post mechanisms of exclusion, but its achievement is based on distinctive

27

internal incentives on states to accept costs on concentrated economic interests, rather than reorganizing the rules of international institutions. The argument advanced here for the effectiveness of open international markets shares some similarities with prominent explanations for the occurrence of war. In his discussion of rational causes of war, Fearon identifies issue-indivisibility as one possible rational cause of war, but emphasizes that such issue-indivisibility more likely derives from domestic political mechanisms rather than the nature of issues themselves (Fearon 1995: 389-390). In the same way, it is domestic political incentives that require open international markets to be organized by a hegemon or through specific reciprocity. In theory, such mechanisms of exclusion need not be applied if domestic social rigidities do not provide effective incentives for national decisionmakers to free-ride on open international markets. Inclusive and centralized political organization can reduce the political effectiveness of rigidities which activate the practice of exclusion. Therefore, although this paper has introduced the ‘encompassing group’ argument for reliable open international markets only after discussion of the existing alternative explanations, the other way around would make more sense. Given that the incentives for selective unilateral protectionism are fundamentally domestic political economy incentives, it would perhaps be more appropriate to start collective action theory based discussion of trade politics with the question of whether domestic political arrangements, such as encompassing political institutions, can manage the domestic incentives to defect, before moving on to discussions of hegemonic stability or specific reciprocity (or even the absorption of independent states into a single, perhaps federal, state) where these domestic political arrangements are insufficient to prevent selective unilateral defection. To be sure, there is much more to the organization of open international markets than the mechanisms that underlie the solution to free-riding demanded by concentrated interests. Other important factors, relevant to the operation of many or all the mechanisms discussed here,

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include: the provision of reliable information about state behavior, perhaps through monitoring by international bureaucracies or international tribunals, and wider issues of the design of international institutions (eg. Keohane 1984; Koremenos, Lipson et al. 2001; Dai 2002); the role of legalization of international politics (eg. Goldstein, Kahler et al. 2001); the relationship of the bargaining and enforcement phases of international agreements (eg. Fearon 1998); the relationship of trade and domestic compensation systems (eg. Cameron 1978; Katzenstein 1985; Rodrik 1997); and the compatibility of the organization of open international markets with shifts in the distribution of relative power (eg. Stein 1984; Grieco 1988; Mearsheimer 1994/1995). Much of the current scholarship on these topics rests, implicitly or explicitly, on hegemonic stability or tit-for-tat specific reciprocity mechanisms, but these topics can equally address the situation of states whose domestic institutions are encompassing enough to address domestic collective action problems of trade liberalization without the application of tit-for-tat or hegemonic exclusion. In terms of the study of particular regimes and institutions, the ‘encompassing group’ concept might prove useful in explaining open international markets which operate without the active use of WTO-style mechanisms of exclusion, or where diffuse reciprocity is successfully combined with costly obligations (cf. Martin 1992: 771-772, above). If the literature on the effect of the organization of labor on economic outcomes is any guide, the appropriate characterization of national political systems in terms of centralization and inclusiveness can result in considerable debate, particularly where any characterization requires an assessment of informal as well as formal features of domestic political arrangements, and where national political systems contain a variety of political decision-making methods (eg. Schmitter 1981; Cameron 1984; Golden, Wallerstein et al. 1999; Kenworthy 2003). A full treatment of measuring the ‘encompassingness’ of domestic political institutions is outside the scope of this paper. The essential feature, however, is that authoritative decision-makers selected by large constituencies can make policy across diverse issue-areas and thus accept costs in

29

particular issue-areas in order to secure collective goods for their wider constituencies9. As with encompassing labor unions, both inclusiveness and centralized coordination are required. In addition to the support of open international markets in the absence of mechanisms of exclusion, the behavior of states whose internal political organization is encompassing can offer one further surprise for international relations scholarship. Much existing scholarship correctly observes that the effectiveness of international treaties, including agreements to establish open international markets, is derivative of the underlying distribution of power across states and the distribution of interest group power within states. States with encompassing forms of internal political organization, however, do not derive their preferences directly from small groups, but reflect the interest of large constituencies in the provision of the collective goods of the maximization of consumption and in the availability of reliable international markets without the costs associated with the practice of exclusion. While existing mechanisms to support compliance with treaties supporting open international markets provide powerful reasons to expect that treaties will be under-complied with, states characterized by encompassing forms of internal political organization have incentives to over-comply with international treaties which support open international markets. If, for example, a state’s trade policy is directly constrained by the political influence of small import-competing organized groups with incentives to impose almost unlimited costs on 9

This paper concentrates on the encompassing nature of authoritative domestic political

institutions, such as national parliaments, which have the capacity to make trade policy decisions over tariff and non-tariff barriers, but which frequently have less direct or effective control over national labour market institutions or outcomes, so one could imagine that states could be characterised as possessing or lacking encompassing political institutions and/or encompassing labour market institutions, producing at least four potential combinations, each of which might interact differently with a variety of international collective action problems.

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wider society in order to avoid adjustment costs, there will be limits on state observance of trade treaty obligations, as there will be a definite point at which the state prefers to accept exclusion rather than comply. Political developments with economic consequences, such as reinterpretations of treaty commitments by institutions addressing ‘incomplete contracts’, may therefore result in treaty violations (eg. Milgrom and Roberts 1992: 129-140). If, however, the trade policy of a state is influenced by encompassing political institutions, then the state has incentives to accept greater streams of costly adjustments on concentrated economic interests than a treaty originally provided for, in order to prevent the operation of exclusion from damaging the collective good of reliable international markets for its constituents. Under these circumstances, reinterpretations of treaty commitments which produce more demanding obligations are much more likely to be acceptable, even politically desirable, to state decision-makers. This is a rather startling result from the perspective of rationalist approaches to international relations scholarship, which frequently emphasizes the fragility of treaty agreements, although of course it shares a common logic with many arguments for the impact of international treaty regimes, that the ineffectiveness, effectiveness, or even over-effectiveness of treaty obligations is driven by rational, egoist decision-making of states in anarchy. This explanation for state over-compliance with treaty obligations or international tribunals possesses rationalist microfoundations and does not place any reliance on the legitimacy of international rules, ‘logics of appropriateness’, or other identity- or knowledge-based mechanisms. Table One summarizes the differing mechanisms, all within the same overall framework, for solving the collective action problems of open international markets discussed here: hegemonic stability, specific reciprocity, and encompassing domestic institutions. All three are positivist and rationalist explanations for demanding forms of international organization. All three also find support and stimulation from the wider theories of public goods provision and from examples of social organization outside international relations. All three may, in principle, be

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applied to the solution of collective action problems associated with open international markets, either as substitutes or as complements. Variation in the incentives facing units according to their size, variation in the incentives that more or less equal units can provide each other, and variation in the incentives internal to the units provide three essential elements towards understanding solutions to international collective action problems where exclusion is possible and where state contributions involve primarily the acceptance of costs on concentrated organized interests. [Table One around here] Excludable Goods, International Public Goods, and International Relations This paper has proposed a new collective action based explanation for the operation of open international markets. Keohane set the standard by providing an alternative – specific reciprocity – to the then prevailing hegemonic explanations of international public goods provision. The argument requires no altruism or limitations on state rationality. Accepting many neo-realist premises, it provided a response to neo-realist claims about the impossibility of cooperation. The argument from specific reciprocity is today perhaps the most widely accepted generalisable and rationalist logic for demanding international cooperation. Specific reciprocity is not, however, the only possible generalisable and rationalist logic other than hegemonic stability for the operation of open international markets. The underlying mechanism advanced here provides both a complete substitute to specific reciprocity, downplaying inter-state sanctioning in favor of distinctive forms of internal political organization as the mechanism for the unilateral provision of open international markets, and, alternatively, a mechanism which is at the same time a part-complement and a part-substitute to exclusionary devices, where internal incentives combine with the potential availability of mechanisms of exclusion so that, despite varying economic and political conditions within participating states, no exclusion is ever applied in practice. Even under restrictive assumptions and conditions – rational, egoist states, co-existing in international anarchy, whose constituents include a range of

32

rational, egoist interest groups, facing a stream of costly adjustments from changes in relative prices, without any independent causal significance attributed to dispute resolution mechanisms beyond the provision of information, without a hegemon (or any size inequalities among the participating units) or any tit-for-tat sanctioning – a reliably open international market can be maintained between states with encompassing domestic political institutions This approach suggests a promising way forward for future research on international collective action problems: the maintenance of restrictive criteria for explanations for successful international cooperation but a willingness to look beyond specific reciprocity to other possible explanations for robust international regimes. Just as specific reciprocity followed hegemony, there will be other generalisable explanations for open international markets after specific reciprocity. Through open-mindedness to the application of additional causal mechanisms, and to the wider literature on collective action, progress will continue to be made in the scholarship on international cooperation and international public goods.

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Table One: Three mechanisms for solving collective action problems associated with open international markets

Specific Hegemonic Stability

Encompassing Units Reciprocity

Olson, Zeckhauser, Authors

Axelrod,

Olson, Schmitter

Keohane

(organization of labor)

Kindleberger, Keohane

Units dominated by centralized Largest unit has incentives to Causal Mechanism

unilaterally contribute to public goods

Tit-for-tat

large constituencies have

punishes non-

incentives to accept costs to

contribution by

provide public goods to that

units

constituency

(‘privileged group’) (‘encompassing group’)

Similar Inclusive and centralized labor

A dominant shipping Live-and-let-live

solutions to

organization internalizes costs of

company supporting in WWI trenches

public goods

labor militancy

lighthouses problems

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Swenson, P. (2002). Capitalists Against Markets: The Marking of Labor Markets and Welfare States in the United States and Sweden. Oxford, Oxford University Press. von Stein, J. (2005). "Do Treaties Constrain or Screen? Selection Bias and Treaty Compliance." American Political Science Review 99(4): 611-622. Weiler, J. H. H. (1985). "Alternatives to withdrawal from an International Organization: The case of the European Economic Community." Israel Law Review 20(2-3): 282-298. Whiteley, P. (1983). "The Political Economy of Economic Growth." European Journal of Political Research 11: 197-213.

43

Institute for International Integration Studies The Sutherland Centre, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin 2, Ireland

front 245:Ekaterini - Fisher Effect quark.qxd.qxd - Trinity College Dublin

cost of cross-border transactions, goods, services, people and capital move .... with the changes in relative prices produced by open international markets. .... from which local residents benefit without contributing (Mandelbaum 2005: 8-9).

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