Suffolk University

Nevada Likely Voters

August 2016

Region: (N=500) n Clark ---------------------------------------------------------------- 348 Washoe ------------------------------------------------------------- 89 Central -------------------------------------------------------------- 63

% 69.60 17.80 12.60

Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day. Would you like to spend seven minutes to help us out?... 1.

Gender (N=500) n Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 228 Female ------------------------------------------------------------- 272

% 45.60 54.40

2. How likely are you to vote in the general election for President this November -- very likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely? (N=500) n % Very likely --------------------------------------------------------- 476 95.20 Somewhat likely ------------------------------------------------- 24 4.80 3.

Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, or Independent? (N=500) n % Democrat ---------------------------------------------------------- 200 40.00 Republican -------------------------------------------------------- 166 33.20 Independent ------------------------------------------------------ 106 21.20 Other ---------------------------------------------------------------- 20 4.00 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 8 1.60

4.

What is your age category? (N=500) n 18-24 Years ------------------------------------------------------- 51 25-34 Years ------------------------------------------------------- 64 35-49 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 108 50-64 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 141 65-74 Years ------------------------------------------------------- 80 75+ ------------------------------------------------------------------- 48 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 8

% 10.20 12.80 21.60 28.20 16.00 9.60 1.60

For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=500) n White/Caucasian ------------------------------------------------ 305 Black/African-American ----------------------------------------- 44 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------------- 2 Asian ---------------------------------------------------------------- 20 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------------- 2 Hispanic/Latino -------------------------------------------------- 113 Other ---------------------------------------------------------------- 11 Don’t know ---------------------------------------------------------- 3

% 61.00 8.80 0.40 4.00 0.40 22.60 2.20 0.60

5.

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 1 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University

August 2016

6.

Do you feel the country is headed in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right Direction --------------------------------------------------- 170 34.00 Wrong Track ----------------------------------------------------- 278 55.60 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 52 10.40

7.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? (N=500) n % Approve ------------------------------------------------------------ 244 48.80 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------------- 228 45.60 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 28 5.60

I am going to read you a short list of individuals and for each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally unfavorable? (RANDOMIZE 9-15)

(N=500)

NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HOF/UNDECIDED

8. Barack Obama

1 0.20

266 53.20

219 43.80

14 2.80

9. Hillary Clinton

4 0.80

221 44.20

250 50.00

25 5.00

10. Catherine Cortez Masto

80 16.00

170 34.00

166 33.20

84 16.80

11. Gary Johnson

188 37.60

80 16.00

95 19.00

137 27.40

12. Donald Trump

2 0.40

186 37.20

274 54.80

38 7.60

14. Joe Heck

40 8.00

169 33.80

199 39.80

92 18.40

15. Brian Sandoval

40 8.00

259 51.80

117 23.40

84 16.80

16. Harry Reid

21 4.20

198 39.60

243 48.60

38 7.60

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 2 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University

Nevada Likely Voters

August 2016

17. Nevada’s presidential ballot includes five candidates - Independent American Party Darrell Castle, Democrat Hillary Clinton, Rocky De La Fuente - No Party, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Republican Donald Trump, or none of these candidates. At this point which candidate will you vote or lean toward? (N=500) n % Darrell Castle, Independent American Party ---------------- 5 1.00 Hillary Clinton, Democrat -------------------------------------- 219 43.80 Rocky De La Fuente, No Party --------------------------------- 5 1.00 Gary Johnson, Libertarian ------------------------------------- 24 4.80 Donald Trump, Republican ----------------------------------- 208 41.60 None of these candidates -------------------------------------- 13 2.60 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 26 5.20 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 {FOR 17.1, 17.3, 17.4} {ROTATE 19 & 20} 18. Who would be your second choice if it were between (ROTATE) Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump? (N=34) n % Hillary Clinton, Democrat --------------------------------------- 14 41.18 Donald Trump, Republican -------------------------------------- 6 17.65 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 4 11.76 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 7 20.59 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 3 8.82 19.

20.

Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy? (N=500) n Yes------------------------------------------------------------------ 190 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 273 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 37 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 0

% 38.00 54.60 7.40 0.00

Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy? (N=500) n Yes------------------------------------------------------------------ 189 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 259 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 51 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 1

% 37.80 51.80 10.20 0.20

21. When you think about this presidential election, how do you feel – {RANDOMIZE} Excited, Alarmed, or Bored (CHOOSE EMOTION CLOSEST TO ONE OF THE THREE)? (N=500) n % Excited ------------------------------------------------------------- 122 24.40 Alarmed------------------------------------------------------------ 277 55.40 Bored ---------------------------------------------------------------- 56 11.20 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 43 8.60 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 3 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University 22.

August 2016

What do you think is the most important issue facing the next president? {Randomize} (N=500) n Reducing the national debt ------------------------------------ 24 Taxes---------------------------------------------------------------- 16 Jobs/Economy --------------------------------------------------- 130 Schools/Education ----------------------------------------------- 20 Healthcare --------------------------------------------------------- 34 Illegal immigration ------------------------------------------------ 34 Abortion policy ------------------------------------------------------ 1 Climate Change ---------------------------------------------------- 6 Civil liberties --------------------------------------------------------- 8 Terrorism/national security------------------------------------ 102 Crime/Guns -------------------------------------------------------- 17 Drugs/Opioids ------------------------------------------------------- 6 Choosing Supreme Court Nominees ------------------------ 53 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 49

% 4.80 3.20 26.00 4.00 6.80 6.80 0.20 1.20 1.60 20.40 3.40 1.20 10.60 9.80

{RANDOMIZE 23 – 25} 23. Is America great, in your opinion? (N=500) n Yes------------------------------------------------------------------ 366 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 101 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 33 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 0

% 73.20 20.20 6.60 0.00

24. Some people say the system works for them. Other people say the system is rigged against them. Which is closer to your view? (N=500) n % System works ---------------------------------------------------- 205 41.00 System is rigged ------------------------------------------------- 195 39.00 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 96 19.20 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 25. How much influence does Wall Street have on the U.S. economy – a lot of influence, some influence, not much influence, or no influence? (N=500) n % A lot ----------------------------------------------------------------- 322 64.40 Some --------------------------------------------------------------- 101 20.20 Not much ----------------------------------------------------------- 27 5.40 No influence ------------------------------------------------------- 22 4.40 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 26 5.20 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 26. Over the last 5-10 years, do you feel more or less safe, living in America? Or has it not changed in your view? (N=500) n % More safe ---------------------------------------------------------- 75 15.00 Less safe ---------------------------------------------------------- 264 52.80 Not changed ------------------------------------------------------ 143 28.60 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 17 3.40 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 4 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University

Nevada Likely Voters

August 2016

27. Nevada’s ballot for U.S. Senate includes six candidates: Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, Tony Gumina - No Party, Republican Joe Heck, Tom Jones - Independent American Party, Tom Sawyer No Party, Jarrod Williams - No Party, or None of these candidates. At this point, for whom will you vote or lean? (N=500) n % Catherine Cortez Masto, Democrat ------------------------- 183 36.60 Tony Gumina, No Party------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 Joe Heck, Republican ------------------------------------------ 185 37.00 Tom Jones, Independent American Party-------------------- 4 0.80 Thomas "Tom" Sawyer, No Party ------------------------------ 3 0.60 Jarrod Williams, No Party ---------------------------------------- 0 0.00 None of these candidates -------------------------------------- 31 6.20 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 72 14.40 Refused------------------------------------------------------------- 17 3.40 {FOR 27.2, 27.4-27.7} 28. Who would be your second choice between Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto or Republican Joe Heck? (N=12) n % Catherine Cortez Masto, Democrat ---------------------------- 4 33.33 Joe Heck, Republican --------------------------------------------- 5 41.67 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 3 25.00 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 29. There are several questions on your ballot this November. Question #1 would require that an unlicensed person who wishes to sell or transfer a firearm to another person must conduct the transfer through a licensed gun dealer who runs a background check on the potential buyer or transferee. Transfers between immediate family members and temporary transfers while hunting or for immediate self-defense are exempt. At this point will you vote FOR or AGAINST this question? (N=500) n % For ------------------------------------------------------------------ 305 61.00 Against ------------------------------------------------------------- 132 26.40 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 57 11.40 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 30. Question #2 is the marijuana question and would regulate and tax marijuana similar to alcohol. If passed, persons at least 21 years old would be allowed to possess and use a limited amount of marijuana. Giving or selling marijuana to minors, driving under the influence of marijuana, and marijuana use in public would remain prohibited. At this point will you vote FOR or AGAINST this question? (N=500) n % For ------------------------------------------------------------------ 238 47.60 Against ------------------------------------------------------------- 216 43.20 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 43 8.60 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 5 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University

August 2016

31. Question #3 is the energy deregulation question and would give electric utility customers the right to choose their service provider from an open retail market based upon price, reliability, and other factors. This includes the right to produce electricity from renewable energy sources and to sell that electricity on the open market. The petition directs the legislature to enact laws providing for an open competitive electricity market no later than the year 2023. At this point will you vote FOR or AGAINST this question? (N=500) n % For ------------------------------------------------------------------ 351 70.20 Against -------------------------------------------------------------- 62 12.40 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 84 16.80 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 32. Just your best guess. When all the votes are counted for president this November, who do you think is most likely to be elected president – {ROTATE} Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? (N=500) n % Hillary Clinton ---------------------------------------------------- 286 57.20 Donald Trump ---------------------------------------------------- 140 28.00 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 69 13.80 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 33. How would you describe your own political viewpoint – very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, very conservative? {ROTATE .1-.5 ASCENDING TO DESCENDING} (N=500) n % Very liberal --------------------------------------------------------- 34 6.80 Liberal --------------------------------------------------------------- 84 16.80 Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------- 189 37.80 Conservative ----------------------------------------------------- 106 21.20 Very Conservative ----------------------------------------------- 56 11.20 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 4 0.80 Don’t know -------------------------------------------------------- 27 5.40 34.

What TV news or commentary source do you trust the most? {RANDOMIZE 35.1 - 35.8} (N=500) n CNN ----------------------------------------------------------------- 91 MSNBC ------------------------------------------------------------- 52 FOX News -------------------------------------------------------- 139 ABC------------------------------------------------------------------ 30 NBC ----------------------------------------------------------------- 32 CBS------------------------------------------------------------------ 28 C-SPAN -------------------------------------------------------------- 9 Comedy Central -------------------------------------------------- 15 Undecided -------------------------------------------------------- 104

% 18.20 10.40 27.80 6.00 6.40 5.60 1.80 3.00 20.80

THE FINAL QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING THE SURVEY

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 6 of 7

Nevada Study

Suffolk University

35.

36.

37.

Nevada Likely Voters

August 2016

What is your annual household income? (READ CATEGORIES) (N=500) n Under $20,000 per year ---------------------------------------- 45 Under $50,000 per year ---------------------------------------- 85 Under $75,000 per year --------------------------------------- 113 Under $100,000 per year --------------------------------------- 81 Under $140,000 per year --------------------------------------- 49 $140,000 per year or more ------------------------------------ 35 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 92

% 9.00 17.00 22.60 16.20 9.80 7.00 18.40

Is anyone in your household a member of a labor union? (N=500) n Yes------------------------------------------------------------------- 51 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 432 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 9 Refused--------------------------------------------------------------- 8

% 10.20 86.40 1.80 1.60

Are there any members of your household who are gun owners? (N=500) n Yes------------------------------------------------------------------ 220 No ------------------------------------------------------------------- 252 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 8 Refused------------------------------------------------------------- 20

% 44.00 50.40 1.60 4.00

38. How important is religion in your life – very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important? (N=500) n % Very important --------------------------------------------------- 238 47.60 Somewhat important ------------------------------------------- 136 27.20 Not very important ----------------------------------------------- 54 10.80 Not at all important ----------------------------------------------- 56 11.20 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 Refused------------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.00

Fielded 8/15 – 8/17

Page 7 of 7

Nevada Study

FINAL Nevada Marginals.pdf

0.80 44.20 50.00 5.00. 10. Catherine Cortez Masto 80 170 166 84. 16.00 34.00 33.20 16.80. 11. Gary Johnson 188 80 95 137. 37.60 16.00 19.00 27.40. 12. Donald Trump 2 186 274 38. 0.40 37.20 54.80 7.60. 14. Joe Heck 40 169 199 92. 8.00 33.80 39.80 18.40. 15. Brian Sandoval 40 259 117 84. 8.00 51.80 23.40 16.80.

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