How to transfer assets to private hands: sell or give away? Is it better to do it at once or gradually over time?
No definitive answers from economic theory
Helps to look at experience of different countries We will study experience of Mongolia
Privatization: Objectives
Privatization program should aim to:
Create environment for efficient market mechanism
Promote economic growth and raise standard of living
Be mindful of equity (fairness)
Privatization: Two Models
Mongolia experimented with two different methods to dispose of public property: 1.
Give away: share distribution model (1990-1996)
2.
Sell: auction model (1997-2000)
Share Distribution Model: Overview
Each citizen received free of charge 3 red and 1 blue vouchers
Tradable red vouchers could be used to buy shares in small enterprises
Non-tradable blue vouchers to bid for ownership share in large enterprises
Share Distribution Model: Rationale
Low level of domestic financial savings
Principle of fairness
Lack of a well developed market
Absence of adequate methods for valuing assets
Share Distribution Model: Effects
Highly equitable ex-ante distribution of wealth
High dispersion of ownership
Equal opportunity to benefit from privatization
Lack of unity among shareholders No effective control over management Some enterprises had 20,000 small shareholders (<1%) spread all over the country
No improvement in efficiency
Same managers No outside investors to modernize operations Lost economies of scale (loss of COMECON markets)
Share Distribution Model: Effects
No increase in competition
Central planning legacy – one major producer in each industry
One meat factory (Makh-Impex) One major bakery and flour mill (Altan Taria) One brewery and distillery (APU), etc.
Small domestic market
Low population Small economy
Share Distribution Model: Effects
Increased inequality (poverty rate 1/3 in 1995)
Insufficient education and knowledge (only 60% of red and 90% of blue vouchers used) Profit motive of new owners - downsizing of workforce and dismantlement of old social safety nets
Contributed to high inflation (325% in 1993)
Issuing shares for free was equivalent to expansionary monetary policy Profit motive of new owners – price increases
Share Distribution Model: Summary
Pros
Cons
Fair ex ante distribution of wealth
Lack of managerial control
Fast pace of privatization?
Did not lead to increased competition
Increased poverty and inequality
Inflation
Auction Model: Overview
Learned mistakes from the first period (19901996)
A functioning stock market existed by then in the country
Cash privatization – sale of government assets through auctions, tenders, flotations etc.
Aimed to create ‘real’ owners with controlling stakes in companies
Auction Model: Positive Effects
Clear control of the privatized enterprises helped increase their productivity
All three companies mentioned earlier have turned around from losses to profits after privatization Change from shortages and rations to full shelves
Increased competition
All three monopolies mentioned earlier now have wellrun, wholly private competitors
Auction Model: Negative Effects
Increased scope for corruption
Incomplete and weak regulatory environment No financial reporting and weak auditing Nontransparent auction procedures Leveraged buyouts through illicit government-controlled loans Mining licenses
Highly uneven distribution of income
Long-run Effects of Privatization
Private entrepreneurship thriving
Public participation in the economy significantly decreased Before After Private
Not sufficient to guarantee a well functioning market system Tradeoff between equity and efficiency Takes long time to yield results Effects are often unpredictable
Beneficial in the long run?
Going forward:
Involve impartial third parties such as IMF and World Bank to increase transparency Attract foreign investment and know-how
Questions?
References
Foster, Darin. 1998. Mongolia Country Profile. Political Economy Seminar Presentations, University of Texas, Austin. Accessed on August 18, 2008. http://web.austin.utexas.edu/chenry/cboone/archives98/polecpapers/0022.html Jermakowicz, Wáadysáaw, and Piotr Kozarzewski. 1997. Privatization in Mongolia. Paper prepared for the project “Support for Economic Transition in FSU Countries” No. 103, Center of Social and Economic Research, Warsaw. Korsun, Georges, and Peter Murrell. 1995. Politics and Economics of Mongolia's Privatization Program. Asian Survey 35(5): 472-486. Nixson, Frederick, and Bernard Walters. 2006. Privatization, Income Distribution and Poverty: The Mongolian Experience. World Development 34(9): 1557-1559. World Bank. 1997. The Consequences of Large-Scale Privatization in Mongolia. Accessed on July 25, 2008. http://www.worldbank.org/html/dec/Publications/Abstracts97/08t rans/trans5.html
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