Rotavirus Vaccines and Their Impacts in the United States Daniel C. Payne, PhD, MSPH
US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Immunization Conference September 29, 2014
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Today’s presentation • Trends in rotavirus disease burden among US children • Vaccine effectiveness during the post-licensure period
• Unexpected benefits from rotavirus vaccines
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Rotavirus infections • Gastroenteritis (often severe diarrhea and vomiting, lasting 1-2 weeks) + viremia in 90% of infected children • First infections are most severe
• Natural infection confers immunity against subsequent severe infections
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2 rotavirus vaccines approved by ACIP RotaTeq™ (Merck): Bovine-human pentavalent (G1, G2, G3, G4, P[8]) 3 doses @ 2, 4, 6 months
Rotarix® (GlaxoSmithKline):
Live, attenuated oral vaccines Heterotypic immunity against other strains
Human monvalent (G1, P[8]) 2 doses @ 2, 4 months DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Percentage of children receiving full course of rotavirus vaccines National Immunization Survey, 2009-2013 US children 19-35 months old 90 80 70 Percentage
60 50
Rotavirus Vaccine HP2020 Goal
40 30 20 10 0 2009
2010
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, MMWR 2014
2011
2012
2013
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Trends in rotavirus disease burden among US children
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New Vaccine Surveillance Network (NVSN) SEATTLE Children’s Hospital KANSAS CITY Children’s Mercy Hospital OAKLAND Children’s Hospital Research Center
CINCINNATI Children’s Hospital Medical Center
NASHVILLE Vanderbilt University Medical Center
HOUSTON Texas Children’s Hospital
ROCHESTER University Medical Center
NVSN: Proportion of childhood acute gastroenteritis hospitalizations testing rotavirus positive, active surveillance Proportion of AGE hospitalizations rotavirus +
60% 51%
52%
50%
40%
30% 26%
26%
20%
20%
10% 6%
4%
1%
0% 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
RV+ %
Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2011 and unpublished
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National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS) • Passive lab surveillance • Real-time data for several viruses • Weekly passive reporting by consistently reporting laboratories: • # specimens tested by EIA • # positive for rotavirus
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Vaccine introduction
Tate et al. PIDJ 2013
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Estimated Cumulative Number of Rotavirus Hospitalizations Prevented Nationally Among Children under 5 Years of Age: Marketscan data
Number of Rotavirus Hospitalizations
600,000
567,781
500,000
Now, ~50K hospitalizations averted per year
400,000
300,000
243,169 200,000
176,586 124,113
100,000
64,855 36,890
0 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2017-2018
Leshem et al., Pediatrics 2014 and unpublished
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US Vaccine Effectiveness Results
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RotaTeq
Rotarix
Vazquez M. Curr Opinion Pediatr 2014
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New Vaccine Surveillance Network Full course VE and 95% CI by Rotavirus Genotype for RotaTeq and Rotarix 100 Vaccine Effectiveness (%)
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
89%
87%
87%
74%
83%
G1P[8]
G2P[4]
G3P[8]
G3P[8]
G12P[8]
RotaTeq
RotaTeq
RotaTeq
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES Rotarix RotaTeq
Unexpected benefits from rotavirus vaccines
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Indirect benefits (i.e. “herd immunity”) from rotavirus vaccine Clinical vaccine trials did not evaluate herd immunity Large reductions in rotavirus gastroenteritis medical visits were seen even among children who were too young to have been vaccinated Not just among older children, but also adults (parents/caretakers)
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Age-specific rotavirus hospitalization rate reduction and age-specific vaccine coverage by year Age
Decline in rotavirus AGE hospitalization rate (2008 vs. 2006)
Rotavirus vaccine coverage (>=1 dose)
< 1 year
66%
2006 <1%
1 -< 2 years
95%
0%
<1%
44%
2 -< 3 years
85%
0%
<1%
<1%
This age cohort was age-ineligible to receive rotavirus vaccine
2007 31%
2008 56%
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Rotavirus vaccination associated with ~20% reduction in risk of seizures requiring hospitalization or ED care compared with unvaccinated children during the year following vaccination
Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2013
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Post-Licensure Intussusception Data Mexico, Brazil, Australia, and US have identified a low-level risk of intussusception after both vaccines: ~1-6 cases per 100,000 children vaccinated
(no significant association was observed in the large clinical trials) Estimated 43 intussusception cases (no deaths) vs. 53,000 averted diarrheal hospitalizations (16 deaths) in US children
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Conclusions The following results are consistent across surveillance platforms and methodologies:
Dramatic post-licensure decreases in rotavirus
High vaccine effectiveness A range of expected and unexpected benefits Continued positive benefit : risk profile
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Acknowledgements • NVSN & EIP surveillance staff • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •
Umesh Parashar Margaret Cortese Jackie Tate Mary Wikswo Aaron Curns Idris Sulemana Jessica Moore Benjamin Lopman Aron Hall Manish Patel Catherine Yen Becky Moritz Michael Bowen Jon Gentsch Mathew Esona Jamie Lewis Slavica Rustempasic
• • • •
Eyal Lesham Brian Rha Paul Gastanaduy Kimmie Pringle
• Marietta Vazquez • Lilly Cheng Immergluck • • • • • • • • • •
Mary Allen Staat David Bernstein Peter Szilagyi Kathryn Edwards Natasha Halasa Julie Boom Raj Selvarangan Eileen Klein Janet Englund Parvin Azimi DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
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25
90
80 20
70 60
15 50 40 10 30 20
5
Vaccine coverage (%)
Rotavirus hospitalization rarte per 10,000
NVSN (observed vs. expected) hospitalization rates
10 0
0 2006
2007
Observed Rate
Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2011
2008
2009
Expected Rate
2010
2011
Vaccine Coverage
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Percent of rotavirus tests with a positive result, by week and rotavirus season, NREVSS laboratories, United States, 2000-2013
Tate et al. PIDJ 2013
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Number of childhood acute gastroenteritis hospitalizations testing rotavirus positive, NVSN 250 211 194
200 Hospitalizations
168 147
150
115
107
101
104
101
100 79 44
50
27 9
4
23 1
0 2006
2007
2008
2009
All-cause AGE
Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2011
2010
2011
2012
2013
Rotavirus
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Comparison of Clinical Trial Efficacy to PostLicensure Vaccine Effectiveness (VE) Industrialized Countries
Developing Countries
Vaccine efficacy against severe AGE = 72-100%
Vaccine efficacy against severe AGE = 49-72%
Rotavirus VE: 79-100%
Rotavirus VE: 43-92%
Messages: Within a given population, Vaccine Efficacy closely reflects Vaccine Effectiveness Vaccine performance varies by a population’s socioeconomic status Why? DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Possible reasons for variability in rotavirus VE between high and low SES countries: • factors that can result in interference of uptake of a live, oral vaccine (such as breast milk, stomach acid, maternal antibodies) • co-administration of other live vaccines
• factors that may cause an impaired immune response to vaccine (concurrent enteric infections, malnutrition, and other infections {e.g., malaria})
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New Vaccine Surveillance Network VE and 95% CI by Age for a full course of Rotarix 100% 90% 80% 70% 60%
86%
50%
40%
56%
30% 20% 10% 0%
1 Not statistically significant
Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2013
2
3
4
Age (years) DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
New Vaccine Surveillance Network Full course VE and 95% CI by Age for RotaTeq 100% 90% 80%
89%
70% 60%
83%
85%
79%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
1 Payne DC, et al. Clin Infect Dis 2013
2
Age (years)
3
4 Blue box indicates 95% CI bounds for RotaTeq VE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES