A Model of Traffic Flow Capacity Constraint through Nodes for Dynamic Network Loading with Queue Spillback Presented at the 90th annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board, January 2011 Accepted for publication in the Transportation Research Record

John Gibb DKS Associates Sacramento, CA, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT In dynamic network traffic loading models with queues spilling back in the links, if one or more links departing a node has demand exceeding capacity, a node model is required to unambiguously constrain the flows exiting links approaching that node. Basic principles of traffic flow and causality impose requirements upon macroscopic node models that have only been recently articulated. Only one existing model fully conforms, but has a weakness that is identified and discussed. This paper develops a new conforming model from a particular behavior of traffic, that vehicles wait their turns to proceed, and consume additional approach capacity due to waiting. Derivation from behavior distinguishes it from previous models that allocate capacity by proportionality rules. A simple, efficient, and convergent solution algorithm for the new model is provided. Draft version of full paper available on the Compendium of Papers, #11-1193 http://amonline.trb.org/12k0i2/1

A Model of Traffic Flow 

Capacity Constraint through  Capacity Constraint through Nodes  for Dynamic Network Loading  y g with Queue Spillback More traffic approaches  the intersection than one or the intersection than one or  more exit links allow. How much can flow from  each approach? How does a spillback How does a spillback  queue propagate among  upstream approaches? Given: turn movement  demands, link capacities demands, link capacities  (possibly spillback flows  begun earlier)

John Gibb DKS Associates Transportation Solutions T i S l i

Sacramento

[email protected]

Existing node‐constraint models violate

Laws of Traffic (Tampère, Corthout, Cattrysse & Immers 2010,  (Tampère Corthout Cattrysse & Immers 2010 Lebacque & Khoshyaran 2005)

ƒ Maximize each flow against  ƒ First‐in first‐out approach  constraints (Vehicles move  traffic = conservation of  whenever possible) turning fractions ƒ Invariance Principle 1:  Flow constant when  demand varies > capacity ƒ Invariance Principle 2:  p Flow constant when  capacity varies  > flow ƒ

Jin & Zhang, Nie, Gentile, Bliemer, Durlin, others combined merge &  diverge models contributed to understanding but violate various laws of diverge models, contributed to understanding, but violate various laws of  traffic.  Many are components of macroscopic network dynamic models. – –

ƒ

ƒ

ƒ General intersection, not just  merge or diverge ƒ Conservation of flow ƒ Satisfy constraints y ƒ Non‐negative flows

Demand‐proportional violates Invariance Principle 1. Some violations cause oscillating flows.

New model by Tampère et al. satisfies these laws, but approach flows are  abruptly sensitive between zero and small demand toward an impacted  link. Existing models are proportioning schemes, without an evident basis in  how traffic itself sorts out congested flows.

Some existing models don’t maximize flows  against constraints.  Problems result:

One spillback queue exiting intersection. Another growing.

Now two spillback queues exiting.   Node model enters  new state.  If it fails  to maximize either's  flow...

Both exiting queues  recede away from  intersection, while  queues grow  behind.  Model is  incoherent;  oscillations result.

New Node Constraint Model Basis: Turn‐taking among vehicles  bound for a given saturated departure • Order of arrival to face of intersection Macroscopic result: waiting times at  Macroscopic result: waiting times at intersection face • Wait among those bound for same  departure = number of vehicles waiting

Waiting vehicles consume extra  approach capacity approach capacity • Each equivalent to average number of  waiting turns.  ej is the equivalency factor.

Approach capacity limits the total  equivalent flow of mixed approach  traffic.   ffi • Excess  demand → queues upstream

• Empirical supported (mostly at  merges)  • Turn‐taking observed even at priority junctions, when queued

ej = (e (ej ∑jQij )/rj where for exit link j, ej = avg. turns to wait, rj = capacity into exit link

xi = (∑iejDij)/sj where for approach link i, h f hl k xi = degree of saturation, si = capacity of approach link

Qij = Dij /max(1,xi) where for movement i to j, Dij = demand, d d Qij = constrained flow

ƒ Solution algorithm: simultaneous iteration for fixed‐point ek→xk→Qk→ek+1→… (where k = iteration counter) ƒ Unique solution of flows ƒ Convergence is reliable, linear, amenable to acceleration techniques ƒ Approximately matches simulation ƒ Obeys laws of traffic ƒ Applicable in link‐based network models (regional forecasting)

Further research ƒ Traffic engineering detail (controls, conflicts, lanes, phases, etc.) → complete intersection capacity models that quantify LOS F  movement flows with or without exogenous constraints movement flows with or without exogenous constraints ƒ Empirical study, comparison • Observe not just flows, but whether & when each is queued

A Model of Traffic Flow Capacity Constraint through ...

Sacramento, CA, USA [email protected]. ABSTRACT. In dynamic network traffic loading models with queues spilling back in the links, if one or more.

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